Wednesday, 11 November 2026 18 live now Results recordAccuracyHow it works18+ · Bet responsibly
Today's tips
UEFA Nations League · Europe · Strawberry Arena

Sweden

WLDLW
3–1
FT

Poland

DDLLW

Sweden vs Poland prediction & analysis

52%
Footrivo pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.94 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓

3/10Rating
1.60Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultSweden to win ✓50% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗20% · fair 4.89

Sweden vs Poland preview and prediction

The match

Poland travel to Strawberry Arena in the UEFA Nations League on Monday 28 September (19:45 WAT) to face Sweden. Sweden are 1st with 10 points from 4 games, while Poland sit 3rd on 4 points.

Form guide

Sweden's last 5: WLDLW Most recently they beat Romania 2–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 2.2 conceded.

Poland's last 5: DDLLW Most recently they drew with Bosnia & Herzegovina 0–0 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 31 March 2026, finished Sweden 3–2 Poland.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 1.5 goals: 0.9 for Sweden and 0.6 for Poland. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 81% likely. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 52% chance at odds of 1.60. Predicted score: Sweden 1–1 Poland. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Sweden50%fair 2.02 · @2.00
Draw20%fair 4.90 · @3.50
Poland30%fair 3.33 · @3.20
1.50Expected goals
0.92Sweden xG
0.58Poland xG
52%Both score
19%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

0–022%
1–020%
0–113%
1–112%
2–09%
2–15%

From our goals model: Sweden 0.9 – 0.6 Poland expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSweden to win ✓50%2.022.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80%1.261.29
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓52%1.941.60
Over/under 1.5 goalsUnder 1.5 goals ✗56%1.79–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗81%1.24–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗93%1.07–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓57%1.75–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗29%3.45–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗20%4.89–

Form

Sweden – last 6

WLDLWD
25 Sepvs Romania2–1W
30 Jun@ France0–3L
26 Jun@ Japan1–1D
20 Jun@ Netherlands1–5L
15 Junvs Tunisia5–1W
4 Junvs Greece2–2D
1.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Poland – last 5

DDLLW
25 Sepvs Bosnia & Herzegovina0–0D
3 Junvs Nigeria2–2D
31 Mayvs Ukraine0–2L
31 Mar@ Sweden2–3L
26 Marvs Albania2–1W
1.2Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5

Head to head

31 Mar 2026Sweden v Poland3–2
Sweden vs Poland head-to-head page →

UEFA Nations League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Sweden4310+410
2Bosnia & Herzegovina4220+38
3Poland4112+34
4Romania4004-100

More UEFA Nations League predictions

League hub
FT Georgia0 Ukraine0 131%2.60X23%3.00246%2.62 NGNot both teams to score 63%@1.91 ✓
FT Armenia2 Montenegro3 137%2.75X25%3.00238%2.45 GGBoth teams to score 53%@1.85 ✓
FT Latvia0 Cyprus0 138%2.50X25%3.00237%2.70 GGBoth teams to score 51%@1.85 ✗
FT Belgium0 France1 126%3.40X12%3.75262%1.85 2France to win 62%@1.85 ✓
FT Türkiye1 Italy4 134%2.50X21%3.30245%2.50 GGBoth teams to score 51%@1.62 ✓
FT Northern Ireland0 Hungary0 121%2.62X58%2.90221%2.62 1XNorthern Ireland or draw 79%@1.44 ✓
FT Romania2 Bosnia & Herzegovina4 138%2.10X24%3.20238%3.20 NGNot both teams to score 51%@1.91 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sweden vs Poland?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.

Who will win Sweden vs Poland?

On our numbers Sweden have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Poland 30%.

How many goals will there be in Sweden vs Poland?

We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 19% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sweden vs Poland?

Our predicted score is Sweden 1–1 Poland, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.5 goals in total.

When is Sweden vs Poland?

Sweden vs Poland (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Monday 28 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Strawberry Arena.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.