Good pick · fair odds 1.71 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.36Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAzerbaijan to win ✗73% · @1.12
Double chanceAzerbaijan or draw ✓91% · @1.02
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓59% · @1.36
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗22% · fair 4.45
Azerbaijan vs Liechtenstein preview and prediction
The match
Azerbaijan host Liechtenstein in the UEFA Nations League on Thursday 1 October, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT) at Tofiq Bəhramov. Azerbaijan are 1st with 5 points from 3 games, while Liechtenstein sit 3rd on 1 points.
Form guide
Azerbaijan's last 5: DWWLW Most recently they drew with Lithuania 1–1 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Liechtenstein's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Malta 0–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Azerbaijan arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.7 for Azerbaijan and 0.3 for Liechtenstein. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 59% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Azerbaijan 1–0 Liechtenstein. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Azerbaijan73%fair 1.38 · @1.12
Draw18%fair 5.55 · @7.00
Liechtenstein9%fair 10.78 · @19.00
2.00Expected goals
1.66Azerbaijan xG
0.34Liechtenstein xG
41%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–022%
2–019%
0–014%
3–010%
1–18%
2–16%
From our goals model: Azerbaijan 1.7 – 0.3 Liechtenstein expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Azerbaijan to win✗
73%
1.38
1.12
Double chance
Azerbaijan or draw✓
91%
1.10
1.02
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
59%
1.71
1.36
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Half-time result
Azerbaijan ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Azerbaijan / FT Azerbaijan✗
44%
2.26
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
22%
4.45
–
Form
Azerbaijan – last 5
DWWLW
27 Sep
@ Lithuania
1–1
D
23 Sep
vs Tajikistan
1–0
W
9 Jun
vs San Marino
2–1
W
5 Jun
vs Malta
0–2
L
27 Mar
vs St. Lucia
6–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Liechtenstein – last 6
LLLLLW
27 Sep
@ Malta
0–2
L
24 Sep
vs Lithuania
0–2
L
7 Jun
vs Cyprus
0–2
L
4 Jun
@ Andorra
0–2
L
29 Mar
@ Aruba
1–4
L
26 Mar
@ Tanzania
1–0
W
0.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Azerbaijan and Liechtenstein.
What is the prediction for Azerbaijan vs Liechtenstein?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Azerbaijan vs Liechtenstein?
On our numbers Azerbaijan have a 73% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Liechtenstein 9%.
How many goals will there be in Azerbaijan vs Liechtenstein?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Azerbaijan vs Liechtenstein?
Our predicted score is Azerbaijan 1–0 Liechtenstein, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Azerbaijan vs Liechtenstein?
Azerbaijan vs Liechtenstein (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Thursday 1 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Tofiq Bəhramov.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Germany2
Serbia0
Greece2
Netherlands2
Denmark2
Portugal4
Wales2
Norway1
Rep. Of Ireland2
Austria2
Israel0
Kosovo0
Malta1
Gibraltar1