Rep. Of Ireland vs Austria prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Fair pick · fair odds 1.81 · bookmaker 1.91 · Won ✓
Value bet: Rep. Of Ireland to win @ 3.40 – our chance 35% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Rep. Of Ireland 1.4 – 1.6 Austria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Rep. Of Ireland and Austria on our numbers – 35% for the home side, 40% for the visitors and 25% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Rep. Of Ireland have taken 8 points from their last 5 matches (2W 2D 1L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 0.4 per game. Austria have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 2.0 scored and 1.8 conceded.
We expect around 3.0 goals (1.4 for Rep. Of Ireland, 1.6 for Austria). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–1 (11%), 1–2 (9%), 2–1 (8%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 55% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.91 is better than our fair price of 1.81, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Rep. Of Ireland to win at 3.40 is our value angle (35% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Austria to win ✗ | 40% | 2.49 | 2.10 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 75% | 1.34 | 1.35 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 55% | 1.81 | 1.91 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 80% | 1.25 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 58% | 1.73 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 65% | 1.55 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 40% | 2.52 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Austria / FT Austria ✗ | 24% | 4.14 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✗ | 9% | 11.43 | – |
Form
Rep. Of Ireland – last 5
| 27 Sep | @ Israel | 3–0 | W |
| 24 Sep | @ Kosovo | 0–1 | L |
| 6 Jun | @ Canada | 1–1 | D |
| 28 May | vs Qatar | 1–0 | W |
| 31 Mar | vs FYR Macedonia | 0–0 | D |
Austria – last 6
| 27 Sep | vs Kosovo | 3–1 | W |
| 24 Sep | vs Israel | 3–1 | W |
| 2 Jul | @ Spain | 0–3 | L |
| 28 Jun | @ Algeria | 3–3 | D |
| 22 Jun | @ Argentina | 0–2 | L |
| 17 Jun | vs Jordan | 3–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rep. Of Ireland and Austria.
UEFA Nations League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Austria | 4 | +4 | 8 |
| 2 |  Kosovo | 4 | -1 | 5 |
| 3 |  Rep. Of Ireland | 4 | +2 | 5 |
| 4 |  Israel | 4 | -5 | 2 |
More UEFA Nations League predictions
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Gibraltar1Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Rep. Of Ireland vs Austria?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Rep. Of Ireland vs Austria?
On our numbers Rep. Of Ireland have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Austria 40%.
How many goals will there be in Rep. Of Ireland vs Austria?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
When is Rep. Of Ireland vs Austria?
Rep. Of Ireland vs Austria (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Thursday 1 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Aviva Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.