Faroe Islands vs Kazakhstan prediction & analysis
Faroe Islands or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓
Value bet: Draw @ 3.10 – our chance 56% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +74%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Faroe Islands 1.2 – 1.0 Kazakhstan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Faroe Islands hold the edge on home soil with a 26% chance of winning, against 17% for Kazakhstan, and a draw (56%) is a real possibility.
Faroe Islands have taken 3 points from their last 2 matches (1W 0D 1L), scoring 0.5 and conceding 0.5 per game. Kazakhstan have 7 points from their last 4 (2W 1D 1L), averaging 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
We expect around 2.3 goals (1.2 for Faroe Islands, 1.0 for Kazakhstan). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 51%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 1–0 (13%), 0–1 (11%).
Our pick is Faroe Islands or draw at a 83% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.30 is better than our fair price of 1.21, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Draw at 3.10 is our value angle (56% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Draw ✓ | 56% | 1.78 | 3.10 ▲ |
| Double chance | Faroe Islands or draw ✓ | 83% | 1.21 | 1.30 ▲ |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 51% | 1.98 | 2.10 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 65% | 1.53 | 1.44 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 61% | 1.64 | 1.53 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 80% | 1.25 | 1.17 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 47% | 2.14 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Faroe Islands / FT Faroe Islands ✗ | 23% | 4.34 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–1 ✓ | 13% | 7.55 | – |
Form
Faroe Islands – last 2
| 9 Jun | @ Latvia | 1–0 | W |
| 6 Jun | @ Estonia | 0–1 | L |
Kazakhstan – last 4
| 9 Jun | @ Hungary | 1–3 | L |
| 6 Jun | @ Armenia | 1–1 | D |
| 31 Mar | vs Comoros | 1–0 | W |
| 25 Mar | vs Namibia | 2–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Faroe Islands and Kazakhstan.
UEFA Nations League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Slovakia | 4 | +7 | 10 |
| 2 |  Faroe Islands | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 |  Moldova | 4 | -5 | 4 |
| 4 |  Kazakhstan | 4 | -2 | 2 |
More UEFA Nations League predictions
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Belarus0Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Faroe Islands vs Kazakhstan?
Our pick is Faroe Islands or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Faroe Islands vs Kazakhstan?
On our numbers Faroe Islands have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 56% and Kazakhstan 17%.
How many goals will there be in Faroe Islands vs Kazakhstan?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
When is Faroe Islands vs Kazakhstan?
Faroe Islands vs Kazakhstan (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Tórsvøllur.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.