Value bet: Tristan Suarez to win @ 3.70 – our chance 30% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultMidland to win ✗45% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.40
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · @1.55
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.71
Midland vs Tristan Suarez preview and prediction
The match
The Primera Nacional sees Midland take on Tristan Suarez on Sunday 27 September, kicking off at 20:30 (WAT) at Raul Roberto Sabureau Stadium. Midland are 5th with 55 points from 36 games (in the top half), while Tristan Suarez sit 1st on 64 points (top of the table).
Form guide
Midland's last 5: WWLLW Most recently they beat Club Atlético Güemes 2–0 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Tristan Suarez's last 5: DDDWL Most recently they drew with Atlanta 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 1.0 for Midland and 0.7 for Tristan Suarez. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 74% likely.
Value angle: Tristan Suarez to win at 3.70 – 30% on our numbers against 27% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 54% chance at odds of 1.55. Predicted score: Midland 1–0 Tristan Suarez. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Midland45%fair 2.24 · @2.25
Draw26%fair 3.90 · @2.62
Tristan Suarez30%fair 3.35 · @3.70
1.75Expected goals
1.01Midland xG
0.74Tristan Suarez xG
46%Both score
26%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–018%
0–017%
1–113%
0–113%
2–09%
2–17%
From our goals model: Midland 1.0 – 0.7 Tristan Suarez expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Midland to win✗
45%
2.24
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.34
1.40
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
52%
1.92
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
53%
1.88
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
25%
4.01
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
18%
5.71
–
Form
Midland – last 6
WWLLWL
20 Sep
@ Club Atlético Güemes
2–0
W
13 Sep
vs Chacarita Juniors
1–0
W
6 Sep
@ San Martin S.J.
2–3
L
3 Sep
@ Colegiales
0–3
L
29 Aug
vs Nueva Chicago
2–0
W
23 Aug
@ Temperley
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Tristan Suarez – last 6
DDDWLW
21 Sep
vs Atlanta
0–0
D
16 Sep
@ San Martin S.J.
0–0
D
12 Sep
@ Gimnasia Y Tiro
0–0
D
5 Sep
vs San Martin Tucuman
2–0
W
29 Aug
@ Atletico DE Rafaela
1–2
L
22 Aug
vs Agropecuario
2–0
W
0.8Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Midland and Tristan Suarez.
What is the prediction for Midland vs Tristan Suarez?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Midland vs Tristan Suarez?
On our numbers Midland have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Tristan Suarez 30%.
How many goals will there be in Midland vs Tristan Suarez?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 26% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Midland vs Tristan Suarez?
Our predicted score is Midland 1–0 Tristan Suarez, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Midland vs Tristan Suarez?
Midland vs Tristan Suarez (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Raul Roberto Sabureau Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Almirante Brown0
Acassuso1
Defensores De Belgrano0
Ferro Carril Oeste1
Los Andes2
Deportivo Moron1
Atletico Mitre0
San Telmo2