Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Atlanta to win @ 1.95 – our chance 62% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAtlanta to win ✓62% · @1.95
Double chanceAtlanta or draw ✓84% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓67% · fair 1.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓19% · fair 5.16
Atlanta vs Agropecuario preview and prediction
The match
The Primera Nacional sees Atlanta take on Agropecuario on Sunday 27 September, kicking off at 19:30 (WAT). Atlanta are 2nd with 62 points from 36 games (in the top four), while Agropecuario sit 12th on 46 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Atlanta's last 5: DWWLL Most recently they drew with Tristan Suarez 0–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Agropecuario's last 5: WLWDL Most recently they beat Gimnasia Y Tiro 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.5 for Atlanta and 0.6 for Agropecuario. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 67% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Atlanta 62%, draw 21%, Agropecuario 16%.
Safer route: Atlanta or draw (84%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: no (50%) at 1.60.
Value angle: Atlanta to win at 1.95 – 62% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Atlanta or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Atlanta 1–0 Agropecuario. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Atlanta62%fair 1.60 · @1.95
Draw21%fair 4.70 · @2.90
Agropecuario16%fair 6.13 · @4.20
2.03Expected goals
1.48Atlanta xG
0.55Agropecuario xG
50%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–019%
2–014%
0–013%
1–111%
2–18%
0–17%
From our goals model: Atlanta 1.5 – 0.6 Agropecuario expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atlanta to win✓
62%
1.60
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Atlanta or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.20
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
50%
1.99
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atlanta / FT Atlanta✓
36%
2.76
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
19%
5.16
–
Form
Atlanta – last 6
DWWLLW
21 Sep
@ Tristan Suarez
0–0
D
12 Sep
vs Club Atlético Güemes
2–0
W
5 Sep
@ Chacarita Juniors
1–0
W
30 Aug
vs San Martin S.J.
0–1
L
26 Aug
@ Patronato
0–2
L
22 Aug
@ Nueva Chicago
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Agropecuario – last 6
WLWDLW
20 Sep
vs Gimnasia Y Tiro
1–0
W
13 Sep
@ San Martin Tucuman
0–3
L
6 Sep
vs Atletico DE Rafaela
2–0
W
1 Sep
@ Gimnasia Jujuy
1–1
D
22 Aug
@ Tristan Suarez
0–2
L
15 Aug
vs Ciudad de Bolívar
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atlanta and Agropecuario.
What is the prediction for Atlanta vs Agropecuario?
Our pick is Atlanta or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Atlanta vs Agropecuario?
On our numbers Atlanta have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Agropecuario 16%.
How many goals will there be in Atlanta vs Agropecuario?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atlanta vs Agropecuario?
Our predicted score is Atlanta 1–0 Agropecuario, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Atlanta vs Agropecuario?
Atlanta vs Agropecuario (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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