Value bet: Deportivo Moron to win @ 3.10 – our chance 38% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDeportivo Moron to win ✗38% · @3.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.44
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.47
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.00
Los Andes vs Deportivo Moron preview and prediction
The match
Deportivo Moron travel to Estadio Eduardo Gallardo in the Primera Nacional on Sunday 27 September (19:30 WAT) to face Los Andes. Los Andes are 10th with 43 points from 36 games (in the bottom half), while Deportivo Moron sit 3rd on 61 points (in the top four). A gap of 18 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Los Andes's last 5: LDDDD Most recently they lost to Colon Santa Fe 0–3 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Deportivo Moron's last 5: LWWWD Most recently they lost to Godoy Cruz 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Deportivo Moron arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 0.9 for Los Andes and 1.0 for Deportivo Moron. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Los Andes 33%, draw 28%, Deportivo Moron 38%.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.53.
Value angle: Deportivo Moron to win at 3.10 – 38% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 52% chance at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: Los Andes 0–1 Deportivo Moron. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Los Andes33%fair 2.99 · @2.60
Draw28%fair 3.52 · @2.60
Deportivo Moron38%fair 2.62 · @3.10
1.98Expected goals
0.95Los Andes xG
1.03Deportivo Moron xG
48%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
0–014%
1–114%
1–013%
0–27%
1–27%
From our goals model: Los Andes 0.9 – 1.0 Deportivo Moron expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Deportivo Moron to win✗
38%
2.62
3.10 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
72%
1.40
1.44
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.94
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
50%
1.99
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
22%
4.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
7.00
–
Form
Los Andes – last 6
LDDDDL
20 Sep
@ Colon Santa Fe
0–3
L
13 Sep
vs San Miguel
1–1
D
9 Sep
@ Defensores De Belgrano
1–1
D
5 Sep
@ San Telmo
0–0
D
31 Aug
vs Acassuso
0–0
D
22 Aug
@ Chaco For Ever
0–1
L
0.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Deportivo Moron – last 6
LWWWDD
20 Sep
vs Godoy Cruz
1–2
L
13 Sep
@ Racing Cordoba
2–1
W
5 Sep
@ Colon Santa Fe
2–1
W
30 Aug
vs San Miguel
2–1
W
27 Aug
@ Central Norte
0–0
D
21 Aug
@ San Telmo
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Los Andes and Deportivo Moron.
What is the prediction for Los Andes vs Deportivo Moron?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Los Andes vs Deportivo Moron?
On our numbers Los Andes have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Deportivo Moron 38%.
How many goals will there be in Los Andes vs Deportivo Moron?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Los Andes vs Deportivo Moron?
Our predicted score is Los Andes 0–1 Deportivo Moron, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Los Andes vs Deportivo Moron?
Los Andes vs Deportivo Moron (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Eduardo Gallardo.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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