Value bet: Colegiales to win @ 1.90 – our chance 59% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultColegiales to win ✓59% · @1.90
Double chanceColegiales or draw ✓86% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗68% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗20% · fair 4.93
Colegiales vs Chacarita Juniors preview and prediction
The match
Colegiales host Chacarita Juniors in the Primera Nacional on Sunday 27 September, with kick-off at 00:00 (WAT) at Estadio de Colegiales. Colegiales are 7th with 52 points from 36 games (in the top half), while Chacarita Juniors sit 14th on 42 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Colegiales's last 5: LWLWW Most recently they lost to San Martin S.J. 0–2 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Chacarita Juniors's last 5: WLLLL Most recently they beat Quilmes 3–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Colegiales arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.4 for Colegiales and 0.5 for Chacarita Juniors. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely.
Value angle: Colegiales to win at 1.90 – 59% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 68% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Colegiales 1–0 Chacarita Juniors. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Colegiales59%fair 1.68 · @1.90
Draw26%fair 3.79 · @2.90
Chacarita Juniors14%fair 7.03 · @4.75
1.94Expected goals
1.41Colegiales xG
0.53Chacarita Juniors xG
45%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–020%
0–014%
2–014%
1–111%
0–18%
2–18%
From our goals model: Colegiales 1.4 – 0.5 Chacarita Juniors expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Colegiales to win✓
59%
1.68
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Colegiales or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.18
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
55%
1.80
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
1.62
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.46
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.11
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Colegiales / FT Colegiales✓
35%
2.83
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
20%
4.93
–
Form
Colegiales – last 6
LWLWWD
20 Sep
@ San Martin S.J.
0–2
L
12 Sep
vs Nueva Chicago
1–0
W
6 Sep
@ Temperley
1–3
L
3 Sep
vs Midland
3–0
W
29 Aug
vs Deportivo Maipu
1–0
W
22 Aug
@ Almagro
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Chacarita Juniors – last 6
WLLLLD
20 Sep
vs Quilmes
3–0
W
13 Sep
@ Midland
0–1
L
5 Sep
vs Atlanta
0–1
L
29 Aug
@ Gimnasia Y Tiro
0–1
L
23 Aug
vs San Martin Tucuman
1–2
L
19 Aug
vs Club Atlético Güemes
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Colegiales and Chacarita Juniors.
What is the prediction for Colegiales vs Chacarita Juniors?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Colegiales vs Chacarita Juniors?
On our numbers Colegiales have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Chacarita Juniors 14%.
How many goals will there be in Colegiales vs Chacarita Juniors?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Colegiales vs Chacarita Juniors?
Our predicted score is Colegiales 1–0 Chacarita Juniors, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Colegiales vs Chacarita Juniors?
Colegiales vs Chacarita Juniors (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio de Colegiales.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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