Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.83 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.83Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAtletico Mitre to win ✗64% · @1.83
Double chanceAtletico Mitre or draw ✗87% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓67% · fair 1.49
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗20% · fair 4.93
Atletico Mitre vs San Telmo preview and prediction
The match
Atletico Mitre host San Telmo in the Primera Nacional on Sunday 27 September, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT) at Estadio Aurinegro. Atletico Mitre are 13th with 40 points from 36 games (in the bottom half), while San Telmo sit 12th on 41 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Atletico Mitre's last 5: LDDDL Most recently they lost to Acassuso 0–2 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
San Telmo's last 5: LWDLW Most recently they lost to CA Estudiantes 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
San Telmo arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.5 for Atletico Mitre and 0.5 for San Telmo. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 67% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Betting angles
Win chances: Atletico Mitre 64%, draw 23%, San Telmo 13%.
Safer route: Atletico Mitre or draw (87%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: no (56%) at 1.60.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Atletico Mitre to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.83, above our fair price of 1.55, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Atletico Mitre 1–0 San Telmo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Atletico Mitre64%fair 1.55 · @1.83
Draw23%fair 4.39 · @3.00
San Telmo13%fair 7.78 · @4.80
2.02Expected goals
1.53Atletico Mitre xG
0.49San Telmo xG
44%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–020%
2–016%
0–013%
1–110%
3–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Atletico Mitre 1.5 – 0.5 San Telmo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atletico Mitre to win✗
64%
1.55
1.83 ▲
Double chance
Atletico Mitre or draw✗
87%
1.15
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
56%
1.80
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atletico Mitre / FT Atletico Mitre✗
39%
2.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
20%
4.93
–
Form
Atletico Mitre – last 6
LDDDLD
19 Sep
@ Acassuso
0–2
L
13 Sep
vs Chaco For Ever
0–0
D
5 Sep
@ Ferro Carril Oeste
0–0
D
30 Aug
vs Central Norte
2–2
D
21 Aug
@ Deportivo Madryn
0–4
L
15 Aug
vs Club Atlético Güemes
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
San Telmo – last 6
LWDLWD
19 Sep
vs CA Estudiantes
0–1
L
12 Sep
@ All Boys
1–0
W
5 Sep
vs Los Andes
0–0
D
30 Aug
@ Godoy Cruz
0–3
L
26 Aug
@ Acassuso
2–1
W
21 Aug
vs Deportivo Moron
2–2
D
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atletico Mitre and San Telmo.
What is the prediction for Atletico Mitre vs San Telmo?
Our pick is Atletico Mitre to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.
Who will win Atletico Mitre vs San Telmo?
On our numbers Atletico Mitre have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 23% and San Telmo 13%.
How many goals will there be in Atletico Mitre vs San Telmo?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atletico Mitre vs San Telmo?
Our predicted score is Atletico Mitre 1–0 San Telmo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Atletico Mitre vs San Telmo?
Atletico Mitre vs San Telmo (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Aurinegro.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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