San Jose Earthquakes vs FC Dallas prediction & analysis
62%
Footrivo pick
San Jose Earthquakes to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.83 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.83Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSan Jose Earthquakes to win ✗62% · @1.83
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.45
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.16
San Jose Earthquakes vs FC Dallas preview and prediction
The match
The Major League Soccer sees San Jose Earthquakes take on FC Dallas on Sunday 17 May, kicking off at 03:30 (WAT) at PayPal Park. San Jose Earthquakes are 4th with 52 points from 34 games (in the top four), while FC Dallas sit 2nd on 58 points (in the top four).
Form guide
San Jose Earthquakes's last 5: LDWWW Most recently they lost to Seattle Sounders 2–3 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 3.2 goals a game.
FC Dallas's last 5: LWWLL Most recently they lost to Vancouver Whitecaps 2–3 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.
San Jose Earthquakes arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.1 for San Jose Earthquakes and 1.1 for FC Dallas. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score in 65% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: San Jose Earthquakes 62%, draw 17%, FC Dallas 21%.
Both teams to score: yes (65%) at 1.45.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was San Jose Earthquakes to win – a 62% chance at odds of 1.83, above our fair price of 1.62, so there is value in it. Predicted score: San Jose Earthquakes 2–1 FC Dallas. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
San Jose Earthquakes62%fair 1.62 · @1.83
Draw17%fair 5.78 · @3.85
FC Dallas21%fair 4.73 · @3.80
3.26Expected goals
2.12San Jose Earthquakes xG
1.13FC Dallas xG
65%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–19%
2–09%
1–08%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: San Jose Earthquakes 2.1 – 1.1 FC Dallas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
San Jose Earthquakes to win✗
62%
1.62
1.83 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
83%
1.21
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.54
1.45
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
1.15
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
1.65
Half-time result
San Jose Earthquakes ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT San Jose Earthquakes / FT San Jose Earthquakes✗
38%
2.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.16
–
Form
San Jose Earthquakes – last 6
LDWWWW
14 May
@ Seattle Sounders
2–3
L
10 May
vs Vancouver Whitecaps
1–1
D
29 Apr
vs Minnesota United FC
4–2
W
26 Apr
@ St. Louis City
3–2
W
23 Apr
vs Austin
5–1
W
20 Apr
@ Los Angeles FC
4–1
W
3.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
FC Dallas – last 6
LWWLLD
14 May
vs Vancouver Whitecaps
2–3
L
10 May
vs Real Salt Lake
3–1
W
3 May
@ New York Red Bulls
2–0
W
26 Apr
@ Seattle Sounders
1–2
L
23 Apr
vs Minnesota United FC
0–1
L
19 Apr
vs Los Angeles Galaxy
2–2
D
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between San Jose Earthquakes and FC Dallas.
What is the prediction for San Jose Earthquakes vs FC Dallas?
Our pick is San Jose Earthquakes to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.
Who will win San Jose Earthquakes vs FC Dallas?
On our numbers San Jose Earthquakes have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 17% and FC Dallas 21%.
How many goals will there be in San Jose Earthquakes vs FC Dallas?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for San Jose Earthquakes vs FC Dallas?
Our predicted score is San Jose Earthquakes 2–1 FC Dallas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is San Jose Earthquakes vs FC Dallas?
San Jose Earthquakes vs FC Dallas (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 03:30 (West Africa Time) at PayPal Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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