Value bet: St. Louis City to win @ 3.20 – our chance 33% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDC United to win ✗46% · @2.12
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 10.08
DC United vs St. Louis City preview and prediction
The match
The Major League Soccer sees DC United take on St. Louis City on Sunday 17 May, kicking off at 00:30 (WAT) at Audi Field. DC United are 14th with 33 points from 34 games (in the bottom three), while St. Louis City sit 3rd on 54 points (in the top four). A gap of 21 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
DC United's last 5: LDWDD Most recently they lost to Chicago Fire 1–3 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 2.0 conceded.
St. Louis City's last 5: WWWLL Most recently they beat Los Angeles FC 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
St. Louis City arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.5 for DC United and 1.2 for St. Louis City. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 60%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: DC United 46%, draw 21%, St. Louis City 33%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.67.
Value angle: St. Louis City to win at 3.20 – 33% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: DC United 1–1 St. Louis City. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
DC United46%fair 2.18 · @2.12
Draw21%fair 4.83 · @3.50
St. Louis City33%fair 2.99 · @3.20
2.71Expected goals
1.49DC United xG
1.22St. Louis City xG
60%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
2–07%
1–27%
From our goals model: DC United 1.5 – 1.2 St. Louis City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
DC United to win✗
46%
2.18
2.12
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.26
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.65
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.95
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.35
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT DC United / FT DC United✗
26%
3.89
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
10.08
–
Form
DC United – last 6
LDWDDL
14 May
vs Chicago Fire
1–3
L
10 May
@ Nashville SC
2–2
D
26 Apr
vs Orlando City SC
3–2
W
23 Apr
@ New York Red Bulls
4–4
D
19 Apr
@ Philadelphia Union
0–0
D
12 Apr
@ New England Revolution
0–1
L
1.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
St. Louis City – last 6
WWWLLW
14 May
vs Los Angeles FC
2–1
W
10 May
@ Colorado Rapids
1–0
W
30 Apr
@ Chicago Fire
2–1
W
26 Apr
vs San Jose Earthquakes
2–3
L
19 Apr
@ Seattle Sounders
1–4
L
16 Apr
vs FC Tulsa
4–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between DC United and St. Louis City.
What is the prediction for DC United vs St. Louis City?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win DC United vs St. Louis City?
On our numbers DC United have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 21% and St. Louis City 33%.
How many goals will there be in DC United vs St. Louis City?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for DC United vs St. Louis City?
Our predicted score is DC United 1–1 St. Louis City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is DC United vs St. Louis City?
DC United vs St. Louis City (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Audi Field.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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