Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Charlotte to win @ 1.84 – our chance 65% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultCharlotte to win ✓65% · @1.84
Double chanceEither team to win ✓85% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.13
Charlotte vs Toronto FC preview and prediction
The match
Charlotte host Toronto FC in the Major League Soccer on Sunday 17 May, with kick-off at 00:30 (WAT) at Bank of America Stadium. Charlotte are 5th with 54 points from 34 games (in the top half), while Toronto FC sit 12th on 39 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Charlotte's last 5: LDLLL Most recently they lost to New York City FC 0–1 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Toronto FC's last 5: LDWLL Most recently they lost to Atlético Ottawa 1–3 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Toronto FC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.2 for Charlotte and 1.1 for Toronto FC. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 60% and both teams to score at 61%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Charlotte 65%, draw 15%, Toronto FC 20%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.57.
Value angle: Charlotte to win at 1.84 – 65% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 81% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Charlotte 2–1 Toronto FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Charlotte65%fair 1.53 · @1.84
Draw15%fair 6.75 · @3.85
Toronto FC20%fair 5.00 · @3.75
3.23Expected goals
2.17Charlotte xG
1.06Toronto FC xG
61%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–09%
1–19%
1–09%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Charlotte 2.2 – 1.1 Toronto FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Charlotte to win✓
65%
1.53
1.84 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
85%
1.17
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.63
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
61%
1.63
1.50
Half-time result
Charlotte ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Charlotte / FT Charlotte✓
41%
2.47
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.13
–
Form
Charlotte – last 6
LDLLLL
14 May
vs New York City FC
0–1
L
10 May
vs FC Cincinnati
2–2
D
3 May
@ New England Revolution
0–1
L
29 Apr
vs Atlanta United FC
0–2
L
26 Apr
@ Nashville SC
2–4
L
23 Apr
@ Orlando City SC
1–4
L
0.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Toronto FC – last 6
LDWLLW
6 May
vs Atlético Ottawa
1–3
L
23 Apr
vs Philadelphia Union
3–3
D
9 Mar
@ FC Cincinnati
1–0
W
1 Mar
@ Vancouver Whitecaps
0–3
L
22 Feb
@ FC Dallas
2–3
L
14 Feb
vs Polessya
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Charlotte and Toronto FC.
What is the prediction for Charlotte vs Toronto FC?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Charlotte vs Toronto FC?
On our numbers Charlotte have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Toronto FC 20%.
How many goals will there be in Charlotte vs Toronto FC?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Charlotte vs Toronto FC?
Our predicted score is Charlotte 2–1 Toronto FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Charlotte vs Toronto FC?
Charlotte vs Toronto FC (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Bank of America Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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