Austin vs Sporting Kansas City prediction & analysis
66%
Footrivo pick
Austin to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.56 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.56Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAustin to win ✗66% · @1.56
Double chanceAustin or draw ✗87% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.36
Austin vs Sporting Kansas City preview and prediction
The match
Sporting Kansas City travel to Q2 Stadium in the Major League Soccer on Sunday 17 May (01:30 WAT) to face Austin. Austin are 14th with 34 points from 34 games (in the bottom three), while Sporting Kansas City sit 15th on 26 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Austin's last 5: LDWLL Most recently they lost to San Diego 0–5 away. They average 1.3 scored and 2.7 conceded.
Sporting Kansas City's last 5: WLLLL Most recently they beat Los Angeles Galaxy 3–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 4 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 2.4 for Austin and 1.0 for Sporting Kansas City. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score in 61% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Austin 66%, draw 22%, Sporting Kansas City 13%.
Safer route: Austin or draw (87%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.55.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Austin to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.56, above our fair price of 1.53, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Austin 2–1 Sporting Kansas City. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Austin66%fair 1.53 · @1.56
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @4.30
Sporting Kansas City13%fair 7.97 · @5.10
3.38Expected goals
2.37Austin xG
1.01Sporting Kansas City xG
61%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–010%
1–18%
1–08%
3–18%
3–08%
From our goals model: Austin 2.4 – 1.0 Sporting Kansas City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Austin to win✗
66%
1.53
1.56
Double chance
Austin or draw✗
87%
1.14
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.64
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.55
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
1.62
Half-time result
Austin ahead at half-time✓
50%
2.00
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Austin / FT Austin✗
45%
2.23
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.36
–
Form
Austin – last 6
LDWLLD
14 May
@ San Diego
0–5
L
11 May
@ Minnesota United FC
2–2
D
26 Apr
vs Houston Dynamo
2–0
W
23 Apr
@ San Jose Earthquakes
1–5
L
15 Apr
@ Louisville City
1–2
L
5 Apr
@ Inter Miami
2–2
D
1.3Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Sporting Kansas City – last 6
WLLLLL
14 May
vs Los Angeles Galaxy
3–1
W
10 May
@ Portland Timbers
0–6
L
26 Apr
@ Chicago Fire
0–5
L
18 Apr
@ Vancouver Whitecaps
0–3
L
15 Apr
@ Colorado Springs
0–3
L
12 Apr
vs San Jose Earthquakes
1–3
L
0.7Scored / game
3.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Austin and Sporting Kansas City.
What is the prediction for Austin vs Sporting Kansas City?
Our pick is Austin to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.56.
Who will win Austin vs Sporting Kansas City?
On our numbers Austin have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Sporting Kansas City 13%.
How many goals will there be in Austin vs Sporting Kansas City?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Austin vs Sporting Kansas City?
Our predicted score is Austin 2–1 Sporting Kansas City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Austin vs Sporting Kansas City?
Austin vs Sporting Kansas City (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Q2 Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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