Orlando City SC vs Atlanta United FC prediction & analysis
67%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
1
Value bet: Orlando City SC to win @ 1.90 – our chance 59% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultOrlando City SC to win ✗59% · @1.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓67% · @1.40
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.47
Orlando City SC vs Atlanta United FC preview and prediction
The match
Orlando City SC host Atlanta United FC in the Major League Soccer on Sunday 17 May, with kick-off at 00:30 (WAT). Orlando City SC are 8th with 46 points from 34 games (in the top half), while Atlanta United FC sit 13th on 33 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Orlando City SC's last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat Philadelphia Union 4–3 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 3.0 goals a game.
Atlanta United FC's last 5: LWWLL Most recently they lost to Los Angeles Galaxy 1–2 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Orlando City SC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 2.2 for Orlando City SC and 1.3 for Atlanta United FC. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 66% and both teams to score at 67%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Orlando City SC 59%, draw 20%, Atlanta United FC 22%.
Both teams to score: yes (67%) at 1.40.
Value angle: Orlando City SC to win at 1.90 – 59% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 67% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Orlando City SC 2–1 Atlanta United FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Orlando City SC59%fair 1.70 · @1.90
Draw20%fair 5.13 · @3.95
Atlanta United FC22%fair 4.64 · @3.40
3.48Expected goals
2.21Orlando City SC xG
1.27Atlanta United FC xG
67%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–19%
2–08%
3–17%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Orlando City SC 2.2 – 1.3 Atlanta United FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Orlando City SC to win✗
59%
1.70
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
80%
1.24
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
67%
1.49
1.40
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.14
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
1.70
Half-time result
Orlando City SC ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Orlando City SC / FT Orlando City SC✗
38%
2.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.47
–
Form
Orlando City SC – last 6
WWWLWL
14 May
vs Philadelphia Union
4–3
W
3 May
@ Inter Miami
4–3
W
30 Apr
@ New England Revolution
4–3
W
26 Apr
@ DC United
2–3
L
23 Apr
vs Charlotte
4–1
W
19 Apr
vs Houston Dynamo
0–1
L
3.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Atlanta United FC – last 6
LWWLLW
10 May
vs Los Angeles Galaxy
1–2
L
3 May
vs CF Montreal
3–1
W
29 Apr
@ Charlotte
2–0
W
23 Apr
vs New England Revolution
1–2
L
19 Apr
vs Nashville SC
0–2
L
16 Apr
@ Chattanooga
3–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Orlando City SC and Atlanta United FC.
What is the prediction for Orlando City SC vs Atlanta United FC?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Orlando City SC vs Atlanta United FC?
On our numbers Orlando City SC have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Atlanta United FC 22%.
How many goals will there be in Orlando City SC vs Atlanta United FC?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Orlando City SC vs Atlanta United FC?
Our predicted score is Orlando City SC 2–1 Atlanta United FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Orlando City SC vs Atlanta United FC?
Orlando City SC vs Atlanta United FC (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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