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Major League Soccer · USA · Gillette Stadium

New England Revolution vs Minnesota United FC prediction & analysis

75%
Footrivo pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.28Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultNew England Revolution to win ✓46% · @2.22
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗9% · fair 10.53

New England Revolution vs Minnesota United FC preview and prediction

The match

New England Revolution host Minnesota United FC in the Major League Soccer on Sunday 17 May, with kick-off at 00:30 (WAT) at Gillette Stadium. New England Revolution are 3rd with 58 points from 34 games (in the top four), while Minnesota United FC sit 10th on 44 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.

Form guide

New England Revolution's last 5: LWWLD Most recently they lost to Nashville SC 0–3 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded.

Minnesota United FC's last 5: LDWLW Most recently they lost to Colorado Rapids 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.5 for New England Revolution and 1.2 for Minnesota United FC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 62%.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: New England Revolution 1–1 Minnesota United FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

New England Revolution46%fair 2.15 · @2.22
Draw21%fair 4.80 · @3.45
Minnesota United FC33%fair 3.05 · @3.05
2.79Expected goals
1.55New England Revolution xG
1.24Minnesota United FC xG
62%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–27%
2–07%

From our goals model: New England Revolution 1.5 – 1.2 Minnesota United FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNew England Revolution to win ✓46%2.152.22
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.261.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓62%1.621.65
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.331.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓52%1.921.83
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓69%1.441.36
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓41%2.42–
Half-time / full-timeHT New England Revolution / FT New England Revolution ✗26%3.79–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗9%10.53–

Form

New England Revolution – last 6

LWWLDW
14 Mayvs Nashville SC0–3L
10 Mayvs Philadelphia Union2–1W
3 Mayvs Charlotte1–0W
30 Aprvs Orlando City SC3–4L
26 Apr@ Inter Miami1–1D
23 Apr@ Atlanta United FC2–1W
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Minnesota United FC – last 6

LDWLWW
14 Mayvs Colorado Rapids0–1L
11 Mayvs Austin2–2D
3 May@ Columbus Crew3–2W
29 Apr@ San Jose Earthquakes2–4L
23 Apr@ FC Dallas1–0W
19 Aprvs Portland Timbers2–0W
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between New England Revolution and Minnesota United FC.

New England Revolution vs Minnesota United FC head-to-head page →

Major League Soccer table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps341978+4064
2FC Dallas3416108+1158
3St. Louis City3415910+1154
4San Jose Earthquakes34141010+652
5Houston Dynamo3414911051
6Los Angeles FC34121111+1247
7Portland Timbers3413714+146
8Seattle Sounders34121012-246
9Real Salt Lake3413615+145
10Minnesota United FC34111112-244
11Los Angeles Galaxy34111112-744
12Colorado Rapids3412715-343
13San Diego3491114-638
14Austin3481016-2334
15Sporting Kansas City347522-4126

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for New England Revolution vs Minnesota United FC?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win New England Revolution vs Minnesota United FC?

On our numbers New England Revolution have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Minnesota United FC 33%.

How many goals will there be in New England Revolution vs Minnesota United FC?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for New England Revolution vs Minnesota United FC?

Our predicted score is New England Revolution 1–1 Minnesota United FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is New England Revolution vs Minnesota United FC?

New England Revolution vs Minnesota United FC (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Gillette Stadium.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.