New England Revolution vs Minnesota United FC preview and prediction
The match
New England Revolution host Minnesota United FC in the Major League Soccer on Sunday 17 May, with kick-off at 00:30 (WAT) at Gillette Stadium. New England Revolution are 3rd with 58 points from 34 games (in the top four), while Minnesota United FC sit 10th on 44 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
New England Revolution's last 5: LWWLD Most recently they lost to Nashville SC 0–3 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Minnesota United FC's last 5: LDWLW Most recently they lost to Colorado Rapids 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.5 for New England Revolution and 1.2 for Minnesota United FC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 62%.
Betting angles
Win chances: New England Revolution 46%, draw 21%, Minnesota United FC 33%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.65.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: New England Revolution 1–1 Minnesota United FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
New England Revolution46%fair 2.15 · @2.22
Draw21%fair 4.80 · @3.45
Minnesota United FC33%fair 3.05 · @3.05
2.79Expected goals
1.55New England Revolution xG
1.24Minnesota United FC xG
62%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–27%
2–07%
From our goals model: New England Revolution 1.5 – 1.2 Minnesota United FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
New England Revolution to win✓
46%
2.15
2.22
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.62
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.92
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.36
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.42
–
Half-time / full-time
HT New England Revolution / FT New England Revolution✗
26%
3.79
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
9%
10.53
–
Form
New England Revolution – last 6
LWWLDW
14 May
vs Nashville SC
0–3
L
10 May
vs Philadelphia Union
2–1
W
3 May
vs Charlotte
1–0
W
30 Apr
vs Orlando City SC
3–4
L
26 Apr
@ Inter Miami
1–1
D
23 Apr
@ Atlanta United FC
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Minnesota United FC – last 6
LDWLWW
14 May
vs Colorado Rapids
0–1
L
11 May
vs Austin
2–2
D
3 May
@ Columbus Crew
3–2
W
29 Apr
@ San Jose Earthquakes
2–4
L
23 Apr
@ FC Dallas
1–0
W
19 Apr
vs Portland Timbers
2–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between New England Revolution and Minnesota United FC.
What is the prediction for New England Revolution vs Minnesota United FC?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win New England Revolution vs Minnesota United FC?
On our numbers New England Revolution have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Minnesota United FC 33%.
How many goals will there be in New England Revolution vs Minnesota United FC?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for New England Revolution vs Minnesota United FC?
Our predicted score is New England Revolution 1–1 Minnesota United FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is New England Revolution vs Minnesota United FC?
New England Revolution vs Minnesota United FC (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Gillette Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.