Philadelphia Union vs Columbus Crew prediction & analysis
78%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Columbus Crew to win @ 2.85 – our chance 42% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultColumbus Crew to win ✗42% · @2.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.31
Philadelphia Union vs Columbus Crew preview and prediction
The match
Columbus Crew travel to Subaru Park in the Major League Soccer on Sunday 17 May (00:30 WAT) to face Philadelphia Union. Philadelphia Union are 6th with 50 points from 34 games (in the top half), while Columbus Crew sit 7th on 47 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Philadelphia Union's last 5: LLDLD Most recently they lost to Orlando City SC 3–4 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Columbus Crew's last 5: LLWWW Most recently they lost to New York Red Bulls 2–3 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Columbus Crew arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 26 April 2026, finished Columbus Crew 2–0 Philadelphia Union.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.4 for Philadelphia Union and 1.5 for Columbus Crew. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score in 60% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Philadelphia Union 35%, draw 23%, Columbus Crew 42%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.57.
Value angle: Columbus Crew to win at 2.85 – 42% on our numbers against 35% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Philadelphia Union 1–1 Columbus Crew. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Philadelphia Union35%fair 2.86 · @2.28
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.55
Columbus Crew42%fair 2.36 · @2.85
2.91Expected goals
1.37Philadelphia Union xG
1.54Columbus Crew xG
60%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–07%
0–26%
From our goals model: Philadelphia Union 1.4 – 1.5 Columbus Crew expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Philadelphia Union vs Columbus Crew?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Philadelphia Union vs Columbus Crew?
On our numbers Philadelphia Union have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Columbus Crew 42%.
How many goals will there be in Philadelphia Union vs Columbus Crew?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Philadelphia Union vs Columbus Crew?
Our predicted score is Philadelphia Union 1–1 Columbus Crew, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Philadelphia Union vs Columbus Crew?
Philadelphia Union vs Columbus Crew (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Subaru Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Minnesota United FC1
St. Louis City1
Houston Dynamo1
Vancouver Whitecaps0
Austin1
Sporting Kansas City2
Seattle Sounders0
Los Angeles Galaxy2