The Serie B sees Modena take on Reggiana on Friday 1 May, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT) at Stadio Alberto Braglia.
Form guide
Modena's last 5: LDLWL Most recently they lost to Monza 0–1 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Reggiana's last 5: LDLDD Most recently they lost to Pescara 1–3 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.6 per game.
Modena arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.6.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.8 for Modena and 0.7 for Reggiana. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Modena 63%, draw 24%, Reggiana 13%.
Safer route: Modena or draw (87%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.77.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Modena 1–0 Reggiana. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Modena63%fair 1.59 · @1.63
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.85
Reggiana13%fair 7.59 · @5.10
2.54Expected goals
1.82Modena xG
0.72Reggiana xG
53%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Modena 1.8 – 0.7 Reggiana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Modena to win✓
63%
1.59
1.63
Double chance
Modena or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
1.77
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.36
Half-time result
Modena ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Modena / FT Modena✓
40%
2.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
6.98
–
Form
Modena – last 6
LDLWLW
24 Apr
@ Monza
0–1
L
14 Apr
@ Catanzaro
2–2
D
6 Apr
@ Bari
1–3
L
13 Mar
vs Spezia
3–0
W
3 Mar
@ Virtus Entella
1–2
L
22 Feb
@ Juve Stabia
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Reggiana – last 5
LDLDD
6 Apr
vs Pescara
1–3
L
17 Mar
vs Monza
0–0
D
3 Mar
vs Sudtirol
0–4
L
22 Feb
vs Avellino
1–1
D
15 Feb
@ Empoli
1–1
D
0.6Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Modena and Reggiana.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Modena vs Reggiana?
On our numbers Modena have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Reggiana 13%.
How many goals will there be in Modena vs Reggiana?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Modena vs Reggiana?
Our predicted score is Modena 1–0 Reggiana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Modena vs Reggiana?
Modena vs Reggiana (Serie B) kicks off on Friday 1 May 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Alberto Braglia.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Frosinone1
Spezia2
Venezia2
Monza2
Bari2