The Serie B sees Palermo take on Catanzaro on Friday 1 May, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT) at Stadio Renzo Barbera. Palermo are 1st with 27 points from 11 games (top of the table), while Catanzaro sit 20th on 6 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 21 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Palermo's last 5: DWDWW Most recently they drew with Frosinone 1–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Catanzaro's last 5: WDDWD Most recently they beat Spezia 4–2 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.9 for Palermo and 0.9 for Catanzaro. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 56%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Palermo 2–0 Catanzaro. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Palermo64%fair 1.57 · @1.56
Draw19%fair 5.16 · @4.00
Catanzaro17%fair 5.89 · @5.50
2.81Expected goals
1.94Palermo xG
0.86Catanzaro xG
56%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Palermo 1.9 – 0.9 Catanzaro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Palermo to win✓
64%
1.57
1.56
Double chance
Palermo or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.80
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
66%
1.50
1.48
Half-time result
Palermo ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Palermo / FT Palermo✗
40%
2.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.53
–
Form
Palermo – last 6
DWDWWL
10 Apr
@ Frosinone
1–1
D
5 Apr
vs Avellino
2–0
W
17 Mar
vs Juve Stabia
2–2
D
8 Mar
@ Carrarese
1–0
W
4 Mar
vs Mantova
2–1
W
1 Mar
@ Pescara
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Catanzaro – last 6
WDDWDD
25 Apr
vs Spezia
4–2
W
14 Apr
vs Modena
2–2
D
6 Apr
vs Monza
1–1
D
8 Mar
vs Empoli
3–2
W
4 Mar
@ Carrarese
3–3
D
1 Mar
vs Frosinone
2–2
D
2.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Palermo and Catanzaro.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Palermo vs Catanzaro?
On our numbers Palermo have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Catanzaro 17%.
How many goals will there be in Palermo vs Catanzaro?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Palermo vs Catanzaro?
Our predicted score is Palermo 2–0 Catanzaro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Palermo vs Catanzaro?
Palermo vs Catanzaro (Serie B) kicks off on Friday 1 May 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Renzo Barbera.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Frosinone1
Spezia2
Venezia2
Monza2
Reggiana1
Bari2