The Serie B sees Carrarese take on Cesena on Friday 1 May, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT) at Stadio dei Marmi. Carrarese are 17th with 10 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Cesena sit 11th on 15 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Carrarese's last 5: DWWWL Most recently they drew with Pescara 2–2 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 5. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Cesena's last 4: DLLL Most recently they drew with Sudtirol 1–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 2.5 conceded.
Carrarese arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.4 for Carrarese and 1.2 for Cesena. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 61%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Carrarese 44%, draw 22%, Cesena 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.62.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Carrarese 1–1 Cesena. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Carrarese44%fair 2.30 · @2.26
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @3.30
Cesena35%fair 2.89 · @3.05
2.69Expected goals
1.44Carrarese xG
1.25Cesena xG
61%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Carrarese 1.4 – 1.2 Cesena expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Carrarese to win✗
44%
2.30
2.26
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.64
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.34
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.96
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.42
1.36
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Carrarese / FT Carrarese✗
24%
4.09
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
10.21
–
Form
Carrarese – last 6
DWWWLD
19 Apr
vs Pescara
2–2
D
6 Apr
vs Spezia
3–1
W
22 Mar
@ Bari
3–0
W
18 Mar
vs Sampdoria
2–0
W
8 Mar
vs Palermo
0–1
L
4 Mar
vs Catanzaro
3–3
D
2.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Cesena – last 4
DLLL
6 Apr
vs Sudtirol
1–1
D
17 Mar
@ Mantova
0–3
L
3 Mar
vs Monza
1–3
L
21 Feb
vs Spezia
2–3
L
1.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Carrarese and Cesena.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Carrarese vs Cesena?
On our numbers Carrarese have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Cesena 35%.
How many goals will there be in Carrarese vs Cesena?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Carrarese vs Cesena?
Our predicted score is Carrarese 1–1 Cesena, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Carrarese vs Cesena?
Carrarese vs Cesena (Serie B) kicks off on Friday 1 May 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio dei Marmi.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Frosinone1
Spezia2
Venezia2
Monza2
Reggiana1
Bari2