Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.90 – our chance 57% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSalford City to win ✓64% · @1.52
Double chanceSalford City or draw ✓86% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.90
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.48
Salford City vs Barrow preview and prediction
The match
Salford City host Barrow in the League Two on Tuesday 17 March, with kick-off at 20:45 (WAT) at Peninsula Stadium.
Form guide
Salford City's last 5: WWLLL Most recently they beat Walsall 1–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Barrow's last 4: LDLL Most recently they lost to Bristol Rovers 0–2 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Salford City arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 2.0 for Salford City and 0.8 for Barrow. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Salford City 64%, draw 21%, Barrow 14%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.90.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.90 – 57% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Salford City 2–0 Barrow. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Salford City64%fair 1.55 · @1.52
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @3.95
Barrow14%fair 7.09 · @6.40
2.83Expected goals
2.00Salford City xG
0.83Barrow xG
57%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Salford City 2.0 – 0.8 Barrow expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Salford City
Barrow
Attack vs League Two average
+29%
-8%
Goals conceded vs average
-12%
+11%
Our expected goals here
2.19
0.93
Our own ratings from every League Two result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Salford City to win✓
64%
1.55
1.52
Double chance
Salford City or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
1.90 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
1.35
Half-time result
Salford City ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Salford City / FT Salford City✓
41%
2.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.48
–
Form
Salford City – last 6
WWLLLL
10 Mar
vs Walsall
1–0
W
7 Mar
vs Barnet
2–0
W
3 Mar
@ Grimsby
1–3
L
24 Feb
vs Shrewsbury
1–2
L
21 Feb
@ Cheltenham
2–3
L
17 Feb
vs Newport County
1–3
L
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Barrow – last 4
LDLL
10 Mar
vs Bristol Rovers
0–2
L
6 Mar
@ Cheltenham
2–2
D
21 Feb
@ Fleetwood Town
2–3
L
17 Feb
vs Harrogate Town
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Salford City and Barrow.
What is the prediction for Salford City vs Barrow?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Salford City vs Barrow?
On our numbers Salford City have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Barrow 14%.
How many goals will there be in Salford City vs Barrow?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Salford City vs Barrow?
Our predicted score is Salford City 2–0 Barrow, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Salford City vs Barrow?
Salford City vs Barrow (League Two) kicks off on Tuesday 17 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Peninsula Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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