Value bet: Barnet to win @ 1.94 – our chance 56% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBarnet to win ✗56% · @1.94
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 10.30
Crawley Town vs Barnet preview and prediction
The match
Crawley Town host Barnet in the League Two on Tuesday 17 March, with kick-off at 20:45 (WAT) at The Broadfield Stadium. Crawley Town are 24th with 9 points from 12 games (in the bottom three), while Barnet sit 2nd on 26 points (in the top four). A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Crawley Town's last 3: DDD Most recently they drew with Colchester 0–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Barnet's last 4: LWLL Most recently they lost to Salford City 0–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.1 for Crawley Town and 1.7 for Barnet. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 62%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Crawley Town 23%, draw 20%, Barnet 56%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.62.
Value angle: Barnet to win at 1.94 – 56% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Crawley Town 1–1 Barnet. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Crawley Town23%fair 4.26 · @3.50
Draw20%fair 4.97 · @3.75
Barnet56%fair 1.77 · @1.94
2.89Expected goals
1.14Crawley Town xG
1.74Barnet xG
62%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
0–110%
1–210%
0–28%
1–06%
2–16%
From our goals model: Crawley Town 1.1 – 1.7 Barnet expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Crawley Town
Barnet
Attack vs League Two average
-18%
+45%
Goals conceded vs average
+14%
+10%
Our expected goals here
1.39
1.89
Our own ratings from every League Two result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Barnet to win✗
56%
1.77
1.94 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.62
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.40
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.50
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Barnet / FT Barnet✗
31%
3.18
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
10.30
–
Form
Crawley Town – last 3
DDD
13 Mar
@ Colchester
0–0
D
21 Feb
vs Chesterfield
1–1
D
17 Feb
@ Milton Keynes Dons
0–0
D
0.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Barnet – last 4
LWLL
7 Mar
@ Salford City
0–2
L
24 Feb
@ Accrington ST
1–0
W
21 Feb
@ Colchester
1–4
L
17 Feb
vs Swindon Town
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Crawley Town and Barnet.
What is the prediction for Crawley Town vs Barnet?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Crawley Town vs Barnet?
On our numbers Crawley Town have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Barnet 56%.
How many goals will there be in Crawley Town vs Barnet?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Crawley Town vs Barnet?
Our predicted score is Crawley Town 1–1 Barnet, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Crawley Town vs Barnet?
Crawley Town vs Barnet (League Two) kicks off on Tuesday 17 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at The Broadfield Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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