Value bet: Gillingham to win @ 3.05 – our chance 35% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSwindon Town to win ✓39% · @2.24
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗9% · fair 11.09
Gillingham vs Swindon Town preview and prediction
The match
Swindon Town travel to Priestfield Stadium in the League Two on Tuesday 17 March (20:45 WAT) to face Gillingham. Gillingham are 8th with 20 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Swindon Town sit 13th on 19 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Gillingham's last 3: LLL Most recently they lost to Milton Keynes Dons 1–5 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Swindon Town's last 3: DLW Most recently they drew with Bristol Rovers 1–1 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Swindon Town arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.4 for Gillingham and 1.2 for Swindon Town. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 57%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Gillingham 35%, draw 26%, Swindon Town 39%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Gillingham to win at 3.05 – 35% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Gillingham 1–1 Swindon Town. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Gillingham35%fair 2.85 · @3.05
Draw26%fair 3.79 · @3.40
Swindon Town39%fair 2.59 · @2.24
2.61Expected goals
1.38Gillingham xG
1.23Swindon Town xG
57%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Gillingham 1.4 – 1.2 Swindon Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Gillingham
Swindon Town
Attack vs League Two average
+2%
-16%
Goals conceded vs average
+10%
-9%
Our expected goals here
1.43
1.06
Our own ratings from every League Two result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Swindon Town to win✓
39%
2.59
2.24
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.36
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.75
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.96
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.33
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gillingham / FT Gillingham✗
24%
4.23
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
9%
11.09
–
Form
Gillingham – last 3
LLL
10 Mar
vs Milton Keynes Dons
1–5
L
21 Feb
vs Oldham
0–3
L
17 Feb
@ Chesterfield
0–1
L
0.3Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Swindon Town – last 3
DLW
28 Feb
vs Bristol Rovers
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs Crewe
1–2
L
17 Feb
@ Barnet
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gillingham and Swindon Town.
What is the prediction for Gillingham vs Swindon Town?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Gillingham vs Swindon Town?
On our numbers Gillingham have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Swindon Town 39%.
How many goals will there be in Gillingham vs Swindon Town?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gillingham vs Swindon Town?
Our predicted score is Gillingham 1–1 Swindon Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Gillingham vs Swindon Town?
Gillingham vs Swindon Town (League Two) kicks off on Tuesday 17 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Priestfield Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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