Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.85 – our chance 59% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBristol Rovers to win ✓48% · @1.99
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓11% · fair 9.26
Bristol Rovers vs Shrewsbury preview and prediction
The match
The League Two sees Bristol Rovers take on Shrewsbury on Tuesday 17 March, kicking off at 20:45 (WAT) at Memorial Stadium. Bristol Rovers are 17th with 16 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while Shrewsbury sit 15th on 18 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Bristol Rovers's last 4: WDWL Most recently they beat Barrow 2–0 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Shrewsbury's last 4: LWWW Most recently they lost to Walsall 1–2 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Shrewsbury arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.5 for Bristol Rovers and 1.1 for Shrewsbury. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 59%.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.85 – 59% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 71% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Bristol Rovers 1–1 Shrewsbury. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bristol Rovers48%fair 2.10 · @1.99
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @3.25
Shrewsbury28%fair 3.60 · @3.85
2.63Expected goals
1.50Bristol Rovers xG
1.13Shrewsbury xG
59%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
0–18%
2–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Bristol Rovers 1.5 – 1.1 Shrewsbury expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Bristol Rovers
Shrewsbury
Attack vs League Two average
-9%
-4%
Goals conceded vs average
+14%
+12%
Our expected goals here
1.57
1.25
Our own ratings from every League Two result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bristol Rovers to win✓
48%
2.10
1.99
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.70
1.85 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.42
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bristol Rovers / FT Bristol Rovers✗
27%
3.69
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
11%
9.26
–
Form
Bristol Rovers – last 4
WDWL
10 Mar
@ Barrow
2–0
W
28 Feb
@ Swindon Town
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs Grimsby
3–1
W
17 Feb
@ Oldham
0–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Shrewsbury – last 4
LWWW
28 Feb
vs Walsall
1–2
L
24 Feb
@ Salford City
2–1
W
21 Feb
@ Accrington ST
2–0
W
17 Feb
vs Notts County
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bristol Rovers and Shrewsbury.
What is the prediction for Bristol Rovers vs Shrewsbury?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Bristol Rovers vs Shrewsbury?
On our numbers Bristol Rovers have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Shrewsbury 28%.
How many goals will there be in Bristol Rovers vs Shrewsbury?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bristol Rovers vs Shrewsbury?
Our predicted score is Bristol Rovers 1–1 Shrewsbury, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Bristol Rovers vs Shrewsbury?
Bristol Rovers vs Shrewsbury (League Two) kicks off on Tuesday 17 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Memorial Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Bromley1
Notts County4
Barrow1