Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Grimsby to win @ 1.91 – our chance 59% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultGrimsby to win ✓59% · @1.91
Double chanceGrimsby or draw ✓81% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓11% · fair 9.09
Grimsby vs Fleetwood Town preview and prediction
The match
Grimsby host Fleetwood Town in the League Two on Tuesday 17 March, with kick-off at 20:45 (WAT) at Blundell Park. Grimsby are 6th with 20 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Fleetwood Town sit 16th on 17 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Grimsby's last 5: DWLDL Most recently they drew with Bromley 1–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.4 scored and 1.6 conceded.
Fleetwood Town's last 4: DWWW Most recently they drew with Cheltenham 2–2 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Fleetwood Town arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.8 for Grimsby and 1.0 for Fleetwood Town. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Grimsby 59%, draw 22%, Fleetwood Town 19%.
Safer route: Grimsby or draw (81%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Grimsby to win at 1.91 – 59% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Grimsby or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Grimsby 1–0 Fleetwood Town. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Grimsby59%fair 1.71 · @1.91
Draw22%fair 4.55 · @3.50
Fleetwood Town19%fair 5.15 · @3.80
2.79Expected goals
1.79Grimsby xG
1.00Fleetwood Town xG
56%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–06%
0–16%
From our goals model: Grimsby 1.8 – 1.0 Fleetwood Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Grimsby
Fleetwood Town
Attack vs League Two average
+26%
-5%
Goals conceded vs average
+7%
-1%
Our expected goals here
1.92
1.16
Our own ratings from every League Two result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Grimsby to win✓
59%
1.71
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Grimsby or draw✓
81%
1.24
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.80
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.33
Half-time result
Grimsby ahead at half-time✗
41%
2.46
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Grimsby / FT Grimsby✗
35%
2.89
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
11%
9.09
–
Form
Grimsby – last 5
DWLDL
7 Mar
vs Bromley
1–1
D
3 Mar
vs Salford City
3–1
W
21 Feb
@ Bristol Rovers
1–3
L
18 Feb
vs Walsall
2–2
D
15 Feb
vs Wolves
0–1
L
1.4Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
80%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Fleetwood Town – last 4
DWWW
10 Mar
vs Cheltenham
2–2
D
3 Mar
@ Walsall
1–0
W
21 Feb
vs Barrow
3–2
W
17 Feb
@ Crewe
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Grimsby and Fleetwood Town.
What is the prediction for Grimsby vs Fleetwood Town?
Our pick is Grimsby or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Grimsby vs Fleetwood Town?
On our numbers Grimsby have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Fleetwood Town 19%.
How many goals will there be in Grimsby vs Fleetwood Town?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Grimsby vs Fleetwood Town?
Our predicted score is Grimsby 1–0 Fleetwood Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Grimsby vs Fleetwood Town?
Grimsby vs Fleetwood Town (League Two) kicks off on Tuesday 17 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Blundell Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Bromley1
Notts County4
Barrow1