Value bet: Oldham to win @ 3.60 – our chance 30% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultChesterfield to win ✗46% · @1.97
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 9.62
Chesterfield vs Oldham preview and prediction
The match
The League Two sees Chesterfield take on Oldham on Tuesday 17 March, kicking off at 20:45 (WAT) at SMH Group Stadium. Chesterfield are 10th with 19 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Oldham sit 18th on 15 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Chesterfield's last 3: WDW Most recently they beat Colchester 3–0 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 0.3 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Oldham's last 3: DWW Most recently they drew with Bromley 0–0 away. They average 1.7 scored and 0.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.6 for Chesterfield and 1.1 for Oldham. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 57%.
Value angle: Oldham to win at 3.60 – 30% on our numbers against 28% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Chesterfield 1–1 Oldham. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Chesterfield46%fair 2.16 · @1.97
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.50
Oldham30%fair 3.28 · @3.60
2.72Expected goals
1.58Chesterfield xG
1.14Oldham xG
57%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
2–08%
0–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Chesterfield 1.6 – 1.1 Oldham expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Chesterfield
Oldham
Attack vs League Two average
+17%
-6%
Goals conceded vs average
+9%
-4%
Our expected goals here
1.72
1.17
Our own ratings from every League Two result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chesterfield to win✗
46%
2.16
1.97
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.75
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.96
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.35
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chesterfield / FT Chesterfield✗
28%
3.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
9.62
–
Form
Chesterfield – last 3
WDW
3 Mar
vs Colchester
3–0
W
21 Feb
@ Crawley Town
1–1
D
17 Feb
vs Gillingham
1–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Oldham – last 3
DWW
3 Mar
@ Bromley
0–0
D
21 Feb
@ Gillingham
3–0
W
17 Feb
vs Bristol Rovers
2–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chesterfield and Oldham.
What is the prediction for Chesterfield vs Oldham?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Chesterfield vs Oldham?
On our numbers Chesterfield have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Oldham 30%.
How many goals will there be in Chesterfield vs Oldham?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chesterfield vs Oldham?
Our predicted score is Chesterfield 1–1 Oldham, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Chesterfield vs Oldham?
Chesterfield vs Oldham (League Two) kicks off on Tuesday 17 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at SMH Group Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Bromley1
Notts County4
Barrow1