The Serie A sees Pisa take on Napoli on Sunday 17 May, kicking off at 11:00 (WAT) at Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani.
Form guide
Pisa's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Cremonese 0–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Napoli's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to Bologna 2–3 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Napoli arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 0.7 for Pisa and 2.0 for Napoli. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 50%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Pisa 12%, draw 18%, Napoli 70%.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 2.00.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Pisa 0–2 Napoli. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Pisa12%fair 8.54 · @8.30
Draw18%fair 5.55 · @4.75
Napoli70%fair 1.42 · @1.35
2.67Expected goals
0.65Pisa xG
2.02Napoli xG
50%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–214%
0–114%
0–39%
1–29%
1–19%
0–07%
From our goals model: Pisa 0.7 – 2.0 Napoli expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Napoli to win✓
70%
1.42
1.35
Double chance
Napoli or draw✓
88%
1.13
1.07
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
2.00
2.00
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.92
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
1.40
Half-time result
Napoli ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.03
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Napoli / FT Napoli✓
45%
2.21
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2✗
14%
7.10
–
Form
Pisa – last 6
LLLLLW
10 May
@ Cremonese
0–3
L
1 May
vs Lecce
1–2
L
10 Apr
@ AS Roma
0–3
L
5 Apr
vs Torino
0–1
L
22 Mar
@ Como
0–5
L
15 Mar
vs Cagliari
3–1
W
0.7Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Napoli – last 6
LWWWWL
11 May
vs Bologna
2–3
L
24 Apr
vs Cremonese
4–0
W
6 Apr
vs AC Milan
1–0
W
20 Mar
@ Cagliari
1–0
W
6 Mar
vs Torino
2–1
W
22 Feb
@ Atalanta
1–2
L
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pisa and Napoli.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Pisa vs Napoli?
On our numbers Pisa have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Napoli 70%.
How many goals will there be in Pisa vs Napoli?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pisa vs Napoli?
Our predicted score is Pisa 0–2 Napoli, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Pisa vs Napoli?
Pisa vs Napoli (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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