Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 50% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultComo to win ✓69% · @1.28
Double chanceComo or draw ✓89% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @2.15
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓14% · fair 6.95
Como vs Parma preview and prediction
The match
Parma travel to Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia in the Serie A on Sunday 17 May (11:00 WAT) to face Como. Como are 5th with 23 points from 11 games (in the top half), while Parma sit 16th on 8 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Como's last 5: WWLLD Most recently they beat Hellas Verona 1–0 away. They average 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Parma's last 5: LDDWW Most recently they lost to Torino 1–4 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 2.0 for Como and 0.6 for Parma. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 50%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Como 69%, draw 20%, Parma 11%.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 2.15.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.15 – 50% on our numbers against 47% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Como 2–0 Parma. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Como69%fair 1.46 · @1.28
Draw20%fair 4.89 · @5.20
Parma11%fair 9.17 · @10.25
2.62Expected goals
1.98Como xG
0.64Parma xG
50%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–014%
3–09%
1–19%
2–19%
0–07%
From our goals model: Como 2.0 – 0.6 Parma expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Como to win✓
69%
1.46
1.28
Double chance
Como or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.04
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
1.98
2.15 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.87
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.50
Half-time result
Como ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Como / FT Como✗
45%
2.25
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
14%
6.95
–
Form
Como – last 6
WWLLDW
10 May
@ Hellas Verona
1–0
W
26 Apr
@ Genoa
2–0
W
21 Apr
@ Inter
2–3
L
17 Apr
@ Sassuolo
1–2
L
6 Apr
@ Udinese
0–0
D
22 Mar
vs Pisa
5–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Parma – last 5
LDDWW
13 Mar
@ Torino
1–4
L
8 Mar
@ Fiorentina
0–0
D
27 Feb
vs Cagliari
1–1
D
22 Feb
@ AC Milan
1–0
W
15 Feb
vs Verona
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Como and Parma.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Como vs Parma?
On our numbers Como have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Parma 11%.
How many goals will there be in Como vs Parma?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Como vs Parma?
Our predicted score is Como 2–0 Parma, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Como vs Parma?
Como vs Parma (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Pisa0
Hellas Verona1