Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 55% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultJuventus to win ✗67% · @1.31
Double chanceJuventus or draw ✗84% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.73
Juventus vs Fiorentina preview and prediction
The match
Juventus host Fiorentina in the Serie A on Sunday 17 May, with kick-off at 11:00 (WAT) at Allianz Stadium. Juventus are 7th with 18 points from 11 games (in the top half), while Fiorentina sit 15th on 9 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Juventus's last 4: WWLL Most recently they beat Genoa 2–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Fiorentina's last 5: DLDDW Most recently they drew with Genoa 0–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.9 for Juventus and 0.8 for Fiorentina. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 55%.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.00 – 55% on our numbers against 50% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Juventus 2–0 Fiorentina. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Juventus67%fair 1.50 · @1.31
Draw17%fair 5.75 · @5.20
Fiorentina16%fair 6.34 · @8.90
2.71Expected goals
1.94Juventus xG
0.77Fiorentina xG
55%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–013%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Juventus 1.9 – 0.8 Fiorentina expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Juventus to win✗
67%
1.50
1.31
Double chance
Juventus or draw✗
84%
1.19
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.81
2.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.85
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.48
1.48
Half-time result
Juventus ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Juventus / FT Juventus✗
42%
2.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.73
–
Form
Juventus – last 4
WWLL
6 Apr
vs Genoa
2–0
W
25 Feb
vs Galatasaray
3–0
W
21 Feb
vs Como
0–2
L
17 Feb
@ Galatasaray
2–5
L
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
25%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Fiorentina – last 6
DLDDWW
10 May
vs Genoa
0–0
D
4 May
@ AS Roma
0–4
L
26 Apr
vs Sassuolo
0–0
D
20 Apr
@ Lecce
1–1
D
16 Apr
vs Crystal Palace
2–1
W
13 Apr
vs Lazio
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Juventus and Fiorentina.
What is the prediction for Juventus vs Fiorentina?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Juventus vs Fiorentina?
On our numbers Juventus have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Fiorentina 16%.
How many goals will there be in Juventus vs Fiorentina?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Juventus vs Fiorentina?
Our predicted score is Juventus 2–0 Fiorentina, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Juventus vs Fiorentina?
Juventus vs Fiorentina (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Allianz Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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