Value bet: Torino to win @ 3.55 – our chance 34% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCagliari to win ✓42% · @2.28
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.11
Cagliari vs Torino preview and prediction
The match
Torino travel to Unipol Domus in the Serie A on Sunday 17 May (19:45 WAT) to face Cagliari. Cagliari are 9th with 16 points from 11 games (in the top half), while Torino sit 11th on 14 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Cagliari's last 5: DWLLL Most recently they drew with Bologna 0–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Torino's last 5: WDWWL Most recently they beat Sassuolo 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Torino arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.3 for Cagliari and 1.2 for Torino. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Cagliari 42%, draw 25%, Torino 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Torino to win at 3.55 – 34% on our numbers against 28% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Cagliari 1–1 Torino. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cagliari42%fair 2.40 · @2.28
Draw25%fair 4.03 · @2.86
Torino34%fair 2.98 · @3.55
2.50Expected goals
1.33Cagliari xG
1.16Torino xG
51%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
2–19%
0–08%
1–27%
From our goals model: Cagliari 1.3 – 1.2 Torino expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cagliari to win✓
42%
2.40
2.28
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.97
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cagliari / FT Cagliari✓
24%
4.25
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.11
–
Form
Cagliari – last 6
DWLLLD
3 May
@ Bologna
0–0
D
27 Apr
vs Atalanta
3–2
W
17 Apr
@ Inter
0–3
L
20 Mar
vs Napoli
0–1
L
15 Mar
@ Pisa
1–3
L
27 Feb
@ Parma
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Torino – last 6
WDWWLW
8 May
vs Sassuolo
2–1
W
19 Apr
@ Cremonese
0–0
D
5 Apr
@ Pisa
1–0
W
13 Mar
vs Parma
4–1
W
6 Mar
@ Napoli
1–2
L
1 Mar
vs Lazio
2–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cagliari and Torino.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Cagliari vs Torino?
On our numbers Cagliari have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Torino 34%.
How many goals will there be in Cagliari vs Torino?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cagliari vs Torino?
Our predicted score is Cagliari 1–1 Torino, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Cagliari vs Torino?
Cagliari vs Torino (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Unipol Domus.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Pisa0
Hellas Verona1