FA Cup · England
Sutton Utd vs Truro City prediction & analysis
Under 2.5 goals
Fair pick · fair odds 1.96 · bookmaker 1.85 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Sutton Utd 1.5 – 1.2 Truro City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Sutton Utd hold the edge on home soil with a 46% chance of winning, against 34% for Truro City.
Sutton Utd have taken 6 points from their last 6 matches (1W 3D 2L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.8 per game. Truro City have 16 points from their last 6 (5W 1D 0L), averaging 2.5 scored and 0.7 conceded. Truro City come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.6 goals (1.5 for Sutton Utd, 1.2 for Truro City). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 48%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 1–0 (10%), 2–1 (9%).
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals at a 51% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.85 is close to our fair price of 1.96.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Sutton Utd to win ✓ | 46% | 2.19 | 2.05 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 79% | 1.26 | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✓ | 52% | 1.91 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 74% | 1.35 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 51% | 1.96 | 1.85 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 73% | 1.38 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 43% | 2.35 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Sutton Utd / FT Sutton Utd ✓ | 25% | 3.94 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✓ | 10% | 9.70 | – |
Form
Sutton Utd – last 6
| 13 Oct | vs West Bromwich Albion U21 | 3–2 | W |
| 9 Oct | vs Boreham Wood | 0–2 | L |
| 3 Oct | @ Kidderminster Harriers | 1–1 | D |
| 30 Sep | @ Tamworth | 0–2 | L |
| 26 Sep | vs Forest Green | 3–3 | D |
| 19 Sep | @ FC Halifax Town | 1–1 | D |
Truro City – last 6
| 13 Oct | vs Birmingham City U21 | 3–0 | W |
| 10 Oct | @ Braintree | 2–1 | W |
| 6 Oct | @ Farnham Town | 2–2 | D |
| 3 Oct | vs Cirencester Town | 4–0 | W |
| 26 Sep | @ Maidstone Utd | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Sep | vs Merthyr Town | 2–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sutton Utd and Truro City.
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Forest Green0Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Sutton Utd vs Truro City?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Sutton Utd vs Truro City?
On our numbers Sutton Utd have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Truro City 34%.
How many goals will there be in Sutton Utd vs Truro City?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
When is Sutton Utd vs Truro City?
Sutton Utd vs Truro City (FA Cup) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.