FA Cup · England
Southend vs Berkhamsted prediction & analysis
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Southend 2.6 – 1.0 Berkhamsted expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Southend are clear favourites at home with a 71% chance of winning, against 12% for Berkhamsted.
Southend have taken 13 points from their last 6 matches (4W 1D 1L), scoring 2.8 and conceding 1.5 per game. Berkhamsted have 12 points from their last 6 (4W 0D 2L), averaging 2.2 scored and 1.0 conceded.
We expect around 3.7 goals (2.6 for Southend, 1.0 for Berkhamsted). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 2–1 (9%), 2–0 (9%), 3–1 (8%).
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at a 68% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.44 is close to our fair price of 1.48.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Southend to win ✗ | 71% | 1.42 | 1.28 |
| Double chance | Southend or draw ✗ | 88% | 1.14 | 1.06 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 53% | 1.89 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 88% | 1.14 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 68% | 1.48 | 1.44 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 50% | 1.99 | – |
| Half-time result | Southend ahead at half-time ✗ | 53% | 1.88 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Southend / FT Southend ✗ | 48% | 2.07 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 9% | 10.89 | – |
Form
Southend – last 6
| 10 Oct | @ Boston United | 2–1 | W |
| 3 Oct | vs AFC Fylde | 3–1 | W |
| 30 Sep | @ Eastleigh | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Sep | vs Barrow | 2–4 | L |
| 19 Sep | @ Gateshead | 6–1 | W |
| 15 Sep | vs Tamworth | 3–1 | W |
Berkhamsted – last 6
| 10 Oct | @ Yate Town | 3–0 | W |
| 3 Oct | @ Redditch United | 2–0 | W |
| 29 Sep | @ Sholing | 0–2 | L |
| 26 Sep | vs Chatham Town | 3–1 | W |
| 22 Sep | vs Hanworth Villa | 1–2 | L |
| 19 Sep | vs Hendon | 4–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Southend and Berkhamsted.
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Forest Green0Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Southend vs Berkhamsted?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Southend vs Berkhamsted?
On our numbers Southend have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Berkhamsted 12%.
How many goals will there be in Southend vs Berkhamsted?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
When is Southend vs Berkhamsted?
Southend vs Berkhamsted (FA Cup) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.