FA Cup · England
Plymouth Parkway vs Chertsey Town prediction & analysis
Plymouth Parkway to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.90 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Plymouth Parkway 2.0 – 1.2 Chertsey Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Plymouth Parkway are clear favourites at home with a 61% chance of winning, against 26% for Chertsey Town.
Plymouth Parkway have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.5 per game. Chertsey Town have 7 points from their last 6 (1W 4D 1L), averaging 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded.
We expect around 3.2 goals (2.0 for Plymouth Parkway, 1.2 for Chertsey Town). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–1 (10%), 1–1 (10%), 2–0 (8%).
In their last 1 meeting, Plymouth Parkway have won 1, Chertsey Town have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 4.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Plymouth Parkway to win at a 61% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.90 is better than our fair price of 1.64, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Plymouth Parkway to win ✓ | 61% | 1.64 | 1.90 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 86% | 1.16 | 1.20 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 54% | 1.86 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 82% | 1.21 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 63% | 1.59 | 1.44 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 61% | 1.64 | – |
| Half-time result | Plymouth Parkway ahead at half-time ✗ | 42% | 2.36 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Plymouth Parkway / FT Plymouth Parkway ✗ | 36% | 2.78 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 10% | 10.16 | – |
Form
Plymouth Parkway – last 6
| 13 Oct | vs Wimborne Town | 2–1 | W |
| 10 Oct | @ Chichester City | 1–3 | L |
| 3 Oct | vs Horsham | 2–1 | W |
| 29 Sep | @ Gloucester City | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Sep | vs Bath City | 0–3 | L |
| 22 Sep | vs Frome Town | 2–0 | W |
Chertsey Town – last 6
| 13 Oct | @ Hanwell Town | 1–1 | D |
| 10 Oct | vs Chippenham Town | 2–2 | D |
| 3 Oct | @ Sheppey United | 2–0 | W |
| 29 Sep | vs Poole Town | 1–3 | L |
| 26 Sep | @ Welling United | 2–2 | D |
| 22 Sep | @ Chichester City | 2–2 | D |
Head to head
| 17 Mar 2026 | Plymouth Parkway v Chertsey Town | 3–1 |
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Forest Green0Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Plymouth Parkway vs Chertsey Town?
Our pick is Plymouth Parkway to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.90.
Who will win Plymouth Parkway vs Chertsey Town?
On our numbers Plymouth Parkway have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Chertsey Town 26%.
How many goals will there be in Plymouth Parkway vs Chertsey Town?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
When is Plymouth Parkway vs Chertsey Town?
Plymouth Parkway vs Chertsey Town (FA Cup) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.