FA Cup · England
Dover vs Dorking Wanderers prediction & analysis
Over 2.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.43 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Dover 1.8 – 2.1 Dorking Wanderers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Dorking Wanderers shade it despite being away from home – 46% to win, against 35% for Dover.
Dover have taken 16 points from their last 6 matches (5W 1D 0L), scoring 1.8 and conceding 0.7 per game. Dorking Wanderers have 10 points from their last 6 (2W 4D 0L), averaging 2.2 scored and 1.8 conceded. Dover come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 4.0 goals (1.8 for Dover, 2.1 for Dorking Wanderers). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–2 (8%), 1–1 (7%), 2–2 (7%).
In their last 1 meeting, Dover have won 0, Dorking Wanderers have won 0 and 1 ended level, with an average of 2.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at a 70% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.44 is close to our fair price of 1.43.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Dorking Wanderers to win ✗ | 46% | 2.19 | 2.00 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 81% | 1.24 | 1.22 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 58% | 1.72 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 91% | 1.10 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 70% | 1.43 | 1.44 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Over 3.5 goals ✓ | 56% | 1.79 | – |
| Half-time result | Dorking Wanderers ahead at half-time ✗ | 37% | 2.73 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Dorking Wanderers / FT Dorking Wanderers ✗ | 28% | 3.58 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✗ | 8% | 12.70 | – |
Form
Dover – last 6
| 10 Oct | vs Dorking Wanderers | 1–1 | D |
| 3 Oct | @ Hanwell Town | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Sep | vs AFC Totton | 2–0 | W |
| 19 Sep | vs Folkestone Invicta | 4–2 | W |
| 12 Sep | @ Farnborough | 1–0 | W |
| 8 Sep | @ Dagenham & Redbridge | 1–0 | W |
Dorking Wanderers – last 6
| 10 Oct | @ Dover | 1–1 | D |
| 3 Oct | vs Chatham Town | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Sep | vs Braintree | 4–3 | W |
| 20 Sep | @ Southall | 2–2 | D |
| 12 Sep | @ Torquay | 2–2 | D |
| 8 Sep | vs Chelmsford City | 3–3 | D |
Head to head
| 10 Oct 2026 | Dover v Dorking Wanderers | 1–1 |
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Forest Green0Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Dover vs Dorking Wanderers?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Dover vs Dorking Wanderers?
On our numbers Dover have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Dorking Wanderers 46%.
How many goals will there be in Dover vs Dorking Wanderers?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
When is Dover vs Dorking Wanderers?
Dover vs Dorking Wanderers (FA Cup) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.