Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.30Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultChina to win ✓82% · @1.02
Double chanceChina or draw ✓94% · fair 1.06
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓64% · @1.30
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗22% · fair 4.49
China vs Maldives preview and prediction
The match
China host Maldives in the Friendlies on Thursday 24 September, with kick-off at 12:35 (WAT).
Form guide
China's last 4: DWLW Most recently they drew with Thailand 0–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Maldives's last 3: DLW Most recently they drew with Bangladesh U23 1–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 2.0 for China and 0.2 for Maldives. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Betting angles
Win chances: China 82%, draw 12%, Maldives 6%.
Both teams to score: no (64%) at 1.30.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 64% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: China 1–0 Maldives. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
China82%fair 1.21 · @1.02
Draw12%fair 8.69 · @23.00
Maldives6%fair 16.41 · @71.00
2.17Expected goals
1.95China xG
0.22Maldives xG
36%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–022%
2–022%
3–014%
0–011%
4–07%
1–15%
From our goals model: China 2.0 – 0.2 Maldives expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
China to win✓
82%
1.21
1.02
Double chance
China or draw✓
94%
1.06
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
64%
1.56
1.30
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Half-time result
China ahead at half-time✗
54%
1.85
–
Half-time / full-time
HT China / FT China✗
53%
1.90
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
22%
4.49
–
Form
China – last 4
DWLW
9 Jun
vs Thailand
0–0
D
5 Jun
@ Singapore
2–1
W
31 Mar
vs Cameroon
0–2
L
27 Mar
vs Curaçao
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Maldives – last 3
DLW
7 Jun
vs Bangladesh U23
1–1
D
4 Jun
vs Pakistan
0–3
L
31 Mar
vs Timor-Leste
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between China and Maldives.
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win China vs Maldives?
On our numbers China have a 82% chance of winning, the draw 12% and Maldives 6%.
How many goals will there be in China vs Maldives?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 36% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for China vs Maldives?
Our predicted score is China 1–0 Maldives, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is China vs Maldives?
China vs Maldives (Friendlies) kicks off on Thursday 24 September 2026 at 12:35 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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