Uzbekistan vs Iran prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 2.00 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Uzbekistan 1.7 – 1.9 Iran expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Uzbekistan and Iran on our numbers – 34% for the home side, 40% for the visitors and 26% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Uzbekistan have taken 3 points from their last 6 matches (1W 0D 5L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 2.7 per game. Iran have 9 points from their last 6 (2W 3D 1L), averaging 2.0 scored and 1.0 conceded. Iran come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.6 goals (1.7 for Uzbekistan, 1.9 for Iran). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 1–1 (9%), 1–2 (8%), 2–1 (8%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 63% chance – the bookmaker price of 2.00 is better than our fair price of 1.59, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Iran to win ✗ | 40% | 2.50 | 2.40 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 74% | 1.34 | 1.36 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 63% | 1.59 | 2.00 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 88% | 1.14 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 70% | 1.42 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 51% | 1.97 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 35% | 2.83 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Iran / FT Iran ✗ | 26% | 3.92 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✗ | 8% | 12.17 | – |
Form
Uzbekistan – last 6
| 28 Jun | @ Congo DR | 1–3 | L |
| 23 Jun | @ Portugal | 0–5 | L |
| 18 Jun | vs Colombia | 1–3 | L |
| 8 Jun | @ Netherlands | 1–2 | L |
| 2 Jun | @ Canada | 0–2 | L |
| 27 Mar | vs Gabon | 3–1 | W |
Iran – last 6
| 27 Jun | @ Egypt | 1–1 | D |
| 21 Jun | @ Belgium | 0–0 | D |
| 16 Jun | vs New Zealand | 2–2 | D |
| 29 May | vs Gambia | 3–1 | W |
| 31 Mar | @ Costa Rica | 5–0 | W |
| 27 Mar | vs Nigeria | 1–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Uzbekistan and Iran.
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What is the prediction for Uzbekistan vs Iran?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.
Who will win Uzbekistan vs Iran?
On our numbers Uzbekistan have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Iran 40%.
How many goals will there be in Uzbekistan vs Iran?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
When is Uzbekistan vs Iran?
Uzbekistan vs Iran (Friendlies) kicks off on Thursday 24 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.