Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
NG
Value bet: Not both teams to score @ 1.85 – our chance 62% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultNew Zealand to win ✗60% · @1.80
Double chanceNew Zealand or draw ✓86% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗62% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 1.5 goals ✗64% · fair 1.55
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗29% · fair 3.47
Palestine vs New Zealand preview and prediction
The match
New Zealand travel to Tongliang Long Stadium in the Friendlies on Thursday 24 September (10:30 WAT) to face Palestine.
Form guide
New Zealand's last 5: LLDLL Most recently they lost to Belgium 1–5 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 2.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.3 goals: 0.2 for Palestine and 1.0 for New Zealand. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 87% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Betting angles
Win chances: Palestine 14%, draw 26%, New Zealand 60%.
Safer route: New Zealand or draw (86%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: no (62%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Not both teams to score at 1.85 – 62% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was New Zealand or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Palestine 0–1 New Zealand. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Palestine14%fair 7.03 · @4.33
Draw26%fair 3.91 · @3.25
New Zealand60%fair 1.66 · @1.80
1.25Expected goals
0.24Palestine xG
1.01New Zealand xG
38%Both score
13%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–129%
0–029%
0–214%
1–17%
1–07%
0–35%
From our goals model: Palestine 0.2 – 1.0 New Zealand expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
New Zealand to win✗
60%
1.66
1.80 ▲
Double chance
New Zealand or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.20
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
62%
1.61
1.85 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✗
64%
1.55
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
87%
1.15
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
96%
1.04
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
60%
1.65
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
32%
3.09
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
29%
3.47
–
Form
Palestine – last 2
DD
9 Jun
@ Kyrgyzstan
0–0
D
6 Jun
@ Kyrgyzstan
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
New Zealand – last 6
LLDLLW
27 Jun
vs Belgium
1–5
L
22 Jun
vs Egypt
1–3
L
16 Jun
@ Iran
2–2
D
6 Jun
@ England
0–1
L
3 Jun
@ Haiti
0–4
L
30 Mar
vs Chile
4–1
W
1.3Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Palestine and New Zealand.
What is the prediction for Palestine vs New Zealand?
Our pick is New Zealand or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Palestine vs New Zealand?
On our numbers Palestine have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 26% and New Zealand 60%.
How many goals will there be in Palestine vs New Zealand?
We expect about 1.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 13% likely and both teams score 38% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Palestine vs New Zealand?
Our predicted score is Palestine 0–1 New Zealand, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.3 goals in total.
When is Palestine vs New Zealand?
Palestine vs New Zealand (Friendlies) kicks off on Thursday 24 September 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time) at Tongliang Long Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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