Solomon Islands vs Vanuatu prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
Value bet: Vanuatu to win @ 2.88 – our chance 38% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Solomon Islands 1.3 – 1.2 Vanuatu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Solomon Islands and Vanuatu on our numbers – 39% for the home side, 38% for the visitors and 23% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Solomon Islands have taken 3 points from their last 3 matches (1W 0D 2L), scoring 2.0 and conceding 4.7 per game. Vanuatu have 6 points from their last 2 (2W 0D 0L), averaging 1.5 scored and 0.5 conceded. Vanuatu come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.5 goals (1.3 for Solomon Islands, 1.2 for Vanuatu). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 61%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 1–0 (10%), 0–1 (10%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 61% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.62 is close to our fair price of 1.64. For a bigger price, Vanuatu to win at 2.88 is our value angle (38% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Solomon Islands to win ✗ | 39% | 2.58 | 2.20 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 77% | 1.30 | 1.30 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 61% | 1.64 | 1.62 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 71% | 1.40 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 54% | 1.84 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 76% | 1.32 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 44% | 2.27 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Solomon Islands / FT Solomon Islands ✗ | 21% | 4.75 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 10% | 9.70 | – |
Form
Solomon Islands – last 3
| 21 Sep | @ New Caledonia | 2–0 | W |
| 30 Mar | @ St. Kitts and Nevis | 2–4 | L |
| 27 Mar | vs Bulgaria | 2–10 | L |
Vanuatu – last 2
| 21 Sep | @ Fiji | 1–0 | W |
| 6 Jun | vs Fiji | 2–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Solomon Islands and Vanuatu.
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What is the prediction for Solomon Islands vs Vanuatu?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Solomon Islands vs Vanuatu?
On our numbers Solomon Islands have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Vanuatu 38%.
How many goals will there be in Solomon Islands vs Vanuatu?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
When is Solomon Islands vs Vanuatu?
Solomon Islands vs Vanuatu (Friendlies) kicks off on Thursday 24 September 2026 at 05:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.