Value bet: Ecuador to win @ 3.00 – our chance 36% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSouth Korea to win ✓39% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 10.33
South Korea vs Ecuador preview and prediction
The match
Ecuador travel to Suwon World Cup Stadium in the Friendlies on Thursday 24 September (12:00 WAT) to face South Korea.
Form guide
South Korea's last 5: LLWWW Most recently they lost to South Africa 0–1 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Ecuador's last 5: LWDLW Most recently they lost to Mexico 0–2 away. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.3 for South Korea and 1.3 for Ecuador. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: South Korea 39%, draw 25%, Ecuador 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Ecuador to win at 3.00 – 36% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 53% chance at odds of 1.85. Predicted score: South Korea 1–1 Ecuador. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
South Korea39%fair 2.56 · @2.25
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @3.00
Ecuador36%fair 2.74 · @3.00
2.63Expected goals
1.34South Korea xG
1.29Ecuador xG
53%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: South Korea 1.3 – 1.3 Ecuador expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
South Korea to win✓
39%
2.56
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.96
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT South Korea / FT South Korea✗
22%
4.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
10.33
–
Form
South Korea – last 6
LLWWWL
25 Jun
@ South Africa
0–1
L
19 Jun
@ Mexico
0–1
L
12 Jun
vs Czech Republic
2–1
W
4 Jun
vs El Salvador
1–0
W
31 May
vs Trinidad and Tobago
5–0
W
31 Mar
@ Austria
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Ecuador – last 6
LWDLWW
1 Jul
@ Mexico
0–2
L
25 Jun
vs Germany
2–1
W
21 Jun
vs Curaçao
0–0
D
15 Jun
@ Ivory Coast
0–1
L
7 Jun
vs Guatemala
3–0
W
31 May
vs Saudi Arabia
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between South Korea and Ecuador.
What is the prediction for South Korea vs Ecuador?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win South Korea vs Ecuador?
On our numbers South Korea have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Ecuador 36%.
How many goals will there be in South Korea vs Ecuador?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for South Korea vs Ecuador?
Our predicted score is South Korea 1–1 Ecuador, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is South Korea vs Ecuador?
South Korea vs Ecuador (Friendlies) kicks off on Thursday 24 September 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Suwon World Cup Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Solomon Islands3
Vanuatu3
Papua New Guinea1
New Caledonia2
Palestine2
New Zealand2
Japan3
Uruguay1
Netherlands U191
Belgium U191
China3
Maldives0
Uzbekistan3
Iran1
Romania U191
Hungary U192