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Coppa Italia Serie D · Italy

Città di Varese

LDWDL
2–5
FT

Pro Patria

DLWWW

Città di Varese vs Pro Patria prediction & analysis

64%
Footrivo pick

Pro Patria to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.70Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultPro Patria to win ✓64% · @1.70
Double chancePro Patria or draw ✓89% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗59% · fair 1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16% · fair 6.31

Città di Varese vs Pro Patria preview and prediction

The match

Pro Patria travel to face Città di Varese in the Coppa Italia Serie D on Wednesday 7 October (14:00 WAT).

Form guide

Città di Varese's last 5: LDWDL Most recently they lost to Crema 2–3 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Pro Patria's last 5: DLWWW Most recently they drew with Varesina 0–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Pro Patria arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.0.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 0.6 for Città di Varese and 1.8 for Pro Patria. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 41%.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Pro Patria to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.70, above our fair price of 1.56, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Città di Varese 0–1 Pro Patria. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Città di Varese11%fair 8.90 · @4.20
Draw25%fair 4.06 · @3.50
Pro Patria64%fair 1.56 · @1.70
2.43Expected goals
0.63Città di Varese xG
1.79Pro Patria xG
41%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

0–116%
0–214%
1–110%
1–29%
0–09%
0–39%

From our goals model: Città di Varese 0.6 – 1.8 Pro Patria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPro Patria to win ✓64%1.561.70 ▲
Double chancePro Patria or draw ✓89%1.131.17
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗59%1.70–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓70%1.43–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗56%1.781.67
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77%1.29–
Half-time resultPro Patria ahead at half-time ✓45%2.20–
Half-time / full-timeHT Pro Patria / FT Pro Patria ✓41%2.42–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16%6.31–

Form

Città di Varese – last 6

LDWDLD
4 Oct@ Crema2–3L
27 Sepvs Lentigione1–1D
20 Sep@ Pontedera3–0W
16 Sep@ Cittadella Vis Modena0–0D
13 Sepvs Pro Sesto0–2L
6 Sep@ Coriano1–1D
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Pro Patria – last 6

DLWWWW
4 Oct@ Varesina0–0D
27 Sepvs Solbiatese0–1L
20 Sep@ Arconatese3–0W
16 Sepvs Crema2–0W
13 Sep@ Pontedera3–2W
6 Sepvs Oltrepò2–1W
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Città di Varese and Pro Patria.

Città di Varese vs Pro Patria head-to-head page →

More Coppa Italia Serie D predictions

League hub
FT Ancona1 Fossombrone1 Pens 5–3 164%1.45X22%3.90214%5.75 1Ancona to win 64%@1.45 ✗
FT Brusaporto2 Chievo1 119%3.70X22%3.40259%1.83 X2Chievo or draw 81%@1.30 ✗
FT Flaminia0 Robur Siena3 123%2.40X57%3.20221%2.62 1XFlaminia or draw 79%@1.40 ✗
FT Igea Virtus3 Reggina2 123%3.50X20%3.40257%1.90 2Reggina to win 57%@1.90 ✗
FT Lentigione1 Piacenza3 134%2.60X24%3.00241%2.50 U2.5Under 2.5 goals 55%@1.70 ✗
FT Sasso Marconi Zola1 Cittadella Vis Modena0 126%3.00X21%3.25253%2.10 2Cittadella Vis Modena to win 53%@2.10 ✗
FT Sestri Levante1 Pistoiese0 110%4.75X25%3.70265%1.57 2Pistoiese to win 65%@1.57 ✗
FT Valenzana3 Saluzzo2 141%2.00X23%3.25236%3.25 U2.5Under 2.5 goals 54%@1.75 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Città di Varese vs Pro Patria?

Our pick is Pro Patria to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.

Who will win Città di Varese vs Pro Patria?

On our numbers Città di Varese have a 11% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Pro Patria 64%.

How many goals will there be in Città di Varese vs Pro Patria?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Città di Varese vs Pro Patria?

Our predicted score is Città di Varese 0–1 Pro Patria, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Città di Varese vs Pro Patria?

Città di Varese vs Pro Patria (Coppa Italia Serie D) kicks off on Wednesday 7 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.