Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultPistoiese to win ✗65% · @1.57
Double chancePistoiese or draw ✗90% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓58% · fair 1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.85
Sestri Levante vs Pistoiese preview and prediction
The match
The Coppa Italia Serie D sees Sestri Levante take on Pistoiese on Wednesday 7 October, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT) at Giuseppe Sivori.
Form guide
Sestri Levante's last 5: WLDLL Most recently they beat Borgosesia 1–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Pistoiese's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat USD Casatese 3–0 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.8 goals a game. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Pistoiese arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 0.7 for Sestri Levante and 1.9 for Pistoiese. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 42%.
Our pre-match pick was Pistoiese to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.57, above our fair price of 1.54, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Sestri Levante 0–1 Pistoiese. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sestri Levante10%fair 9.75 · @4.75
Draw25%fair 4.05 · @3.70
Pistoiese65%fair 1.54 · @1.57
2.57Expected goals
0.66Sestri Levante xG
1.91Pistoiese xG
42%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–115%
0–214%
1–110%
1–29%
0–39%
0–08%
From our goals model: Sestri Levante 0.7 – 1.9 Pistoiese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pistoiese to win✗
65%
1.54
1.57
Double chance
Pistoiese or draw✗
90%
1.11
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.38
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Half-time result
Pistoiese ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pistoiese / FT Pistoiese✗
43%
2.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
15%
6.85
–
Form
Sestri Levante – last 6
WLDLLW
4 Oct
@ Borgosesia
1–0
W
27 Sep
vs Biellese
1–2
L
20 Sep
@ Lascaris
1–1
D
16 Sep
vs Fezzanese
0–3
L
13 Sep
@ Alessandria
1–2
L
6 Sep
vs Asti
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Pistoiese – last 6
WWWWWW
4 Oct
@ USD Casatese
3–0
W
27 Sep
vs Sant'Angelo
3–0
W
20 Sep
@ Varesina
1–0
W
16 Sep
vs Arconatese
5–0
W
13 Sep
@ Crema
3–1
W
6 Sep
vs Solbiatese
2–0
W
2.8Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sestri Levante and Pistoiese.
What is the prediction for Sestri Levante vs Pistoiese?
Our pick is Pistoiese to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Sestri Levante vs Pistoiese?
On our numbers Sestri Levante have a 10% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Pistoiese 65%.
How many goals will there be in Sestri Levante vs Pistoiese?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sestri Levante vs Pistoiese?
Our predicted score is Sestri Levante 0–1 Pistoiese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Sestri Levante vs Pistoiese?
Sestri Levante vs Pistoiese (Coppa Italia Serie D) kicks off on Wednesday 7 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Giuseppe Sivori.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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