Value bet: Saluzzo to win @ 3.25 – our chance 36% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultValenzana to win ✓41% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.96
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.47
Valenzana vs Saluzzo preview and prediction
The match
Saluzzo travel to face Valenzana in the Coppa Italia Serie D on Wednesday 7 October (14:00 WAT).
Form guide
Valenzana's last 5: WLDLL Most recently they beat Fezzanese 2–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Saluzzo's last 5: LDDWW Most recently they lost to Ligorna 1–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Saluzzo arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 22 February 2026, finished Valenzana 1–4 Saluzzo.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.3 for Valenzana and 1.2 for Saluzzo. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 49%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Saluzzo to win at 3.25 – 36% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 54% chance at odds of 1.75. Predicted score: Valenzana 1–1 Saluzzo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Valenzana41%fair 2.45 · @2.00
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @3.25
Saluzzo36%fair 2.77 · @3.25
2.52Expected goals
1.31Valenzana xG
1.21Saluzzo xG
49%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
2–18%
0–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: Valenzana 1.3 – 1.2 Saluzzo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Valenzana vs Saluzzo?
On our numbers Valenzana have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Saluzzo 36%.
How many goals will there be in Valenzana vs Saluzzo?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Valenzana vs Saluzzo?
Our predicted score is Valenzana 1–1 Saluzzo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Valenzana vs Saluzzo?
Valenzana vs Saluzzo (Coppa Italia Serie D) kicks off on Wednesday 7 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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