Coppa Italia Serie D · Italy
Brusaporto vs Chievo prediction & analysis
Chievo or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.30 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Chievo to win @ 1.83 – our chance 59% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Brusaporto 0.8 – 1.7 Chievo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Chievo shade it despite being away from home – 59% to win, against 19% for Brusaporto.
Brusaporto have taken 9 points from their last 6 matches (3W 0D 3L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.3 per game. Chievo have 15 points from their last 6 (5W 0D 1L), averaging 2.3 scored and 1.0 conceded. Chievo come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.5 goals (0.8 for Brusaporto, 1.7 for Chievo). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 47%. Most likely scores: 0–1 (14%), 0–2 (12%), 1–1 (11%).
In their last 1 meeting, Brusaporto have won 0, Chievo have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 1.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Chievo or draw at a 81% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.30 is better than our fair price of 1.24, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Chievo to win at 1.83 is our value angle (59% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Chievo to win ✗ | 59% | 1.70 | 1.83 ▲ |
| Double chance | Chievo or draw ✗ | 81% | 1.24 | 1.30 ▲ |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✗ | 53% | 1.90 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 72% | 1.40 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 54% | 1.85 | 1.75 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 75% | 1.33 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 43% | 2.35 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Chievo / FT Chievo ✗ | 36% | 2.80 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 14% | 7.33 | – |
Form
Brusaporto – last 6
| 4 Oct | vs Pro Palazzolo | 0–1 | L |
| 27 Sep | @ Real Calepina | 3–2 | W |
| 20 Sep | vs Fiorenzuola | 1–0 | W |
| 16 Sep | @ Milan II | 1–2 | L |
| 12 Sep | vs Tritium | 2–1 | W |
| 6 Sep | @ Leon | 0–2 | L |
Chievo – last 6
| 4 Oct | vs Tritium | 5–0 | W |
| 27 Sep | @ Nibbiano & Valtidone | 0–2 | L |
| 21 Sep | vs Virtus Ciserano Bergamo | 2–1 | W |
| 16 Sep | vs Club Milano | 2–0 | W |
| 13 Sep | @ Rovato Vertovese | 4–3 | W |
| 5 Sep | vs Pavonese | 1–0 | W |
Head to head
| 29 Mar 2026 | Brusaporto v Chievo | 0–1 |
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Pro Patria5Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Brusaporto vs Chievo?
Our pick is Chievo or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Brusaporto vs Chievo?
On our numbers Brusaporto have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Chievo 59%.
How many goals will there be in Brusaporto vs Chievo?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
When is Brusaporto vs Chievo?
Brusaporto vs Chievo (Coppa Italia Serie D) kicks off on Wednesday 7 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.