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Sasso Marconi Zola vs Cittadella Vis Modena prediction & analysis

53%
Footrivo pick

Cittadella Vis Modena to win

Fair pick · fair odds 1.87 · bookmaker 2.10 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
2.10Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultCittadella Vis Modena to win ✗53% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.52

Win chances

Sasso Marconi Zola26%fair 3.91 · @3.00
Draw21%fair 4.76 · @3.25
Cittadella Vis Modena53%fair 1.87 · @2.10
2.43Expected goals
0.92Sasso Marconi Zola xG
1.51Cittadella Vis Modena xG
46%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

0–113%
1–112%
0–210%
1–29%
0–09%
1–08%

From our goals model: Sasso Marconi Zola 0.9 – 1.5 Cittadella Vis Modena expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Cittadella Vis Modena shade it despite being away from home – 53% to win, against 26% for Sasso Marconi Zola.

Sasso Marconi Zola have taken 4 points from their last 6 matches (1W 1D 4L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.8 per game. Cittadella Vis Modena have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 1.2 scored and 0.7 conceded. Cittadella Vis Modena come into this in clearly the better form.

We expect around 2.4 goals (0.9 for Sasso Marconi Zola, 1.5 for Cittadella Vis Modena). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 46%. Most likely scores: 0–1 (13%), 1–1 (12%), 0–2 (10%).

In their last 1 meeting, Sasso Marconi Zola have won 0, Cittadella Vis Modena have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 2.0 goals per game.

Our pick is Cittadella Vis Modena to win at a 53% chance – the bookmaker price of 2.10 is better than our fair price of 1.87, so there is value in it.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCittadella Vis Modena to win ✗53%1.872.10 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.271.25
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓54%1.85–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗70%1.43–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓56%1.781.67
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77%1.29–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓44%2.26–
Half-time / full-timeHT Cittadella Vis Modena / FT Cittadella Vis Modena ✗30%3.28–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13%7.52–

Form

Sasso Marconi Zola – last 6

LLLDLW
4 Octvs Scandicci0–2L
27 Sep@ Gavorrano1–2L
20 Sepvs Prato0–1L
16 Sep@ Flaminia2–2D
13 Sepvs San Donato Tavarnelle1–3L
6 Sep@ Terranuova Traiana2–1W
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Cittadella Vis Modena – last 6

WLWDWL
4 Oct@ Pontedera3–0W
27 Sepvs Correggese0–1L
20 Sep@ Lentigione1–0W
16 Sepvs Città di Varese0–0D
13 Sepvs Coriano1–0W
6 Sep@ Varesina2–3L
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

29 Mar 2026Cittadella Vis Modena v Sasso Marconi Zola2–0

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sasso Marconi Zola vs Cittadella Vis Modena?

Our pick is Cittadella Vis Modena to win with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.10.

Who will win Sasso Marconi Zola vs Cittadella Vis Modena?

On our numbers Sasso Marconi Zola have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Cittadella Vis Modena 53%.

How many goals will there be in Sasso Marconi Zola vs Cittadella Vis Modena?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.

When is Sasso Marconi Zola vs Cittadella Vis Modena?

Sasso Marconi Zola vs Cittadella Vis Modena (Coppa Italia Serie D) kicks off on Wednesday 7 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.