Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.40 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.40Odds
X
Value bet: Draw @ 3.20 – our chance 57% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +81%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDraw ✗57% · @3.20
Double chanceFlaminia or draw ✗79% · @1.40
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.97
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–1 ✗12% · fair 8.23
Flaminia vs Robur Siena preview and prediction
The match
The Coppa Italia Serie D sees Flaminia take on Robur Siena on Wednesday 7 October, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Flaminia's last 5: DWLDW Most recently they drew with Gavorrano 1–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Robur Siena's last 5: WLWLW Most recently they beat Seravezza 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.4 for Flaminia and 1.3 for Robur Siena. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 51%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Flaminia 23%, draw 57%, Robur Siena 21%.
Safer route: Flaminia or draw (79%) at 1.40.
Value angle: Draw at 3.20 – 57% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Flaminia or draw – a 79% chance at odds of 1.40, above our fair price of 1.26, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Flaminia 1–1 Robur Siena. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Flaminia23%fair 4.43 · @2.40
Draw57%fair 1.76 · @3.20
Robur Siena21%fair 4.82 · @2.62
2.73Expected goals
1.38Flaminia xG
1.34Robur Siena xG
51%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Flaminia 1.4 – 1.3 Robur Siena expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Draw✗
57%
1.76
3.20 ▲
Double chance
Flaminia or draw✗
79%
1.26
1.40 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.97
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.95
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Flaminia / FT Flaminia✗
22%
4.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–1✗
12%
8.23
–
Form
Flaminia – last 6
DWLDWW
4 Oct
vs Gavorrano
1–1
D
27 Sep
vs San Donato Tavarnelle
2–1
W
20 Sep
@ Terranuova Traiana
1–5
L
16 Sep
vs Sasso Marconi Zola
2–2
D
13 Sep
@ Grassina
1–0
W
6 Sep
vs Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano
2–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Robur Siena – last 6
WLWLWD
4 Oct
vs Seravezza
2–1
W
27 Sep
@ Lucchese
2–3
L
20 Sep
vs Montevarchi Calcio
3–0
W
16 Sep
@ Tau Altopascio
2–3
L
12 Sep
vs Mezzolara
3–0
W
6 Sep
@ Scandicci
1–1
D
2.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Flaminia and Robur Siena.
What is the prediction for Flaminia vs Robur Siena?
Our pick is Flaminia or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Flaminia vs Robur Siena?
On our numbers Flaminia have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 57% and Robur Siena 21%.
How many goals will there be in Flaminia vs Robur Siena?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Flaminia vs Robur Siena?
Our predicted score is Flaminia 1–1 Robur Siena, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Flaminia vs Robur Siena?
Flaminia vs Robur Siena (Coppa Italia Serie D) kicks off on Wednesday 7 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.