Value bet: Caldiero Terme to win @ 2.70 – our chance 44% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultCaldiero Terme to win ✓44% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 8.71
Este vs Caldiero Terme preview and prediction
The match
The Coppa Italia Serie D sees Este take on Caldiero Terme on Wednesday 7 October, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Este's last 5: WDLLL Most recently they beat Conegliano 2–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Caldiero Terme's last 5: WDWDD Most recently they beat Nibbiano & Valtidone 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.1 for Este and 1.3 for Caldiero Terme. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 46%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Este 35%, draw 21%, Caldiero Terme 44%.
Value angle: Caldiero Terme to win at 2.70 – 44% on our numbers against 37% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 56% chance at odds of 1.67. Predicted score: Este 1–1 Caldiero Terme. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Este35%fair 2.83 · @2.30
Draw21%fair 4.75 · @3.25
Caldiero Terme44%fair 2.29 · @2.70
2.43Expected goals
1.13Este xG
1.30Caldiero Terme xG
46%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
0–27%
From our goals model: Este 1.1 – 1.3 Caldiero Terme expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Caldiero Terme to win✓
44%
2.29
2.70 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Caldiero Terme / FT Caldiero Terme✗
23%
4.28
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
8.71
–
Form
Este – last 6
WDLLLW
4 Oct
vs Conegliano
2–1
W
27 Sep
@ Sandona
0–0
D
20 Sep
vs Cjarlins Muzane
1–2
L
16 Sep
@ Clodiense
0–1
L
13 Sep
vs FC Obermais
0–1
L
6 Sep
@ Brian Lignano
2–0
W
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Caldiero Terme – last 6
WDWDDL
4 Oct
vs Nibbiano & Valtidone
1–0
W
27 Sep
@ Fiorenzuola
1–1
D
20 Sep
vs Scanzorosciate
1–0
W
16 Sep
@ Real Calepina
2–2
D
13 Sep
vs Leon
1–1
D
6 Sep
@ Milan II
3–4
L
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Este and Caldiero Terme.
What is the prediction for Este vs Caldiero Terme?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Este vs Caldiero Terme?
On our numbers Este have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Caldiero Terme 44%.
How many goals will there be in Este vs Caldiero Terme?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Este vs Caldiero Terme?
Our predicted score is Este 1–1 Caldiero Terme, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Este vs Caldiero Terme?
Este vs Caldiero Terme (Coppa Italia Serie D) kicks off on Wednesday 7 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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