Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.33 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.33Odds
X
Value bet: Draw @ 3.20 – our chance 57% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +81%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDraw ✗57% · @3.20
Double chanceBiellese or draw ✓81% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.89
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–1 ✗13% · fair 7.76
Biellese vs Alessandria preview and prediction
The match
Alessandria travel to face Biellese in the Coppa Italia Serie D on Wednesday 7 October (16:30 WAT).
Form guide
Biellese's last 5: WWDWW Most recently they beat Gozzano 4–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Alessandria's last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat Derthona 3–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.3 for Biellese and 1.2 for Alessandria. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 47%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Draw at 3.20 – 57% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Biellese or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.33, above our fair price of 1.23, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Biellese 1–1 Alessandria. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Biellese24%fair 4.09 · @2.20
Draw57%fair 1.76 · @3.20
Alessandria19%fair 5.29 · @2.88
2.47Expected goals
1.29Biellese xG
1.18Alessandria xG
47%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–08%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Biellese 1.3 – 1.2 Alessandria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Draw✗
57%
1.76
3.20 ▲
Double chance
Biellese or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.33 ▲
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.42
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Biellese / FT Biellese✓
23%
4.43
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–1✗
13%
7.76
–
Form
Biellese – last 6
WWDWWD
4 Oct
vs Gozzano
4–1
W
27 Sep
@ Sestri Levante
2–1
W
20 Sep
vs Chisola
1–1
D
16 Sep
@ Bra
1–0
W
13 Sep
vs Ligorna
3–1
W
6 Sep
@ Saluzzo
1–1
D
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Alessandria – last 6
WWWLWW
4 Oct
@ Derthona
3–1
W
30 Sep
vs Imperia
2–1
W
27 Sep
vs Asti
2–0
W
16 Sep
@ Millesimo
1–4
L
13 Sep
vs Sestri Levante
2–1
W
6 Sep
@ Valenzana
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Biellese and Alessandria.
What is the prediction for Biellese vs Alessandria?
Our pick is Biellese or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Biellese vs Alessandria?
On our numbers Biellese have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 57% and Alessandria 19%.
How many goals will there be in Biellese vs Alessandria?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Biellese vs Alessandria?
Our predicted score is Biellese 1–1 Alessandria, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Biellese vs Alessandria?
Biellese vs Alessandria (Coppa Italia Serie D) kicks off on Wednesday 7 October 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Ancona1
Fossombrone1
Brusaporto2
Chievo1
Flaminia0
Robur Siena3
Igea Virtus3
Reggina2
Lentigione1
Piacenza3
Sasso Marconi Zola1
Cittadella Vis Modena0
Sestri Levante1
Pistoiese0
Valenzana3
Saluzzo2