Pafos travel to De Grolsch Veste in the UEFA Europa Conference League on Thursday 5 November (21:00 WAT) to face Twente. Twente are 3rd with 9 points from 3 games (in the top four), while Pafos sit 30th on 1 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Twente's last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat Excelsior 9–0 away. Goals have not been a problem: 3.0 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Pafos's last 5: DDDDL Most recently they drew with Apollon Limassol 2–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Twente arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.7 goals: 2.7 for Twente and 1.0 for Pafos. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score in 59% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Twente 74%, draw 15%, Pafos 11%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.67.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Twente to win – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Twente 2–0 Pafos. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Twente74%fair 1.35 · @1.28
Draw15%fair 6.65 · @6.25
Pafos11%fair 9.06 · @8.50
3.69Expected goals
2.72Twente xG
0.98Pafos xG
59%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–09%
2–19%
3–08%
3–18%
1–07%
1–17%
From our goals model: Twente 2.7 – 1.0 Pafos expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Twente to win✓
74%
1.35
1.28
Double chance
Twente or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
87%
1.14
1.10
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.36
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
50%
1.99
1.83
Half-time result
Twente ahead at half-time✗
55%
1.81
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Twente / FT Twente✗
51%
1.97
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
9%
10.91
–
Form
Twente – last 6
WWWLWD
1 Nov
@ Excelsior
9–0
W
25 Oct
@ AZ Alkmaar
2–0
W
22 Oct
@ Lincoln Red Imps FC
4–1
W
18 Oct
vs Utrecht
1–2
L
15 Oct
vs FC Thun
1–0
W
10 Oct
@ Fortuna Sittard
1–1
D
3.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Pafos – last 6
DDDDLW
31 Oct
@ Apollon Limassol
2–2
D
26 Oct
@ Nea Salamis
0–0
D
22 Oct
vs Riga
1–1
D
19 Oct
vs Apoel Nicosia
0–0
D
15 Oct
@ Atalanta
1–3
L
11 Oct
@ Anorthosis
3–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Twente and Pafos.
Our pick is Twente to win with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Twente vs Pafos?
On our numbers Twente have a 74% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Pafos 11%.
How many goals will there be in Twente vs Pafos?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Twente vs Pafos?
Our predicted score is Twente 2–0 Pafos, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Twente vs Pafos?
Twente vs Pafos (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 5 November 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at De Grolsch Veste.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
