FC Thun vs Heart Of Midlothian prediction & analysis
63%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
1
Value bet: FC Thun to win @ 2.20 – our chance 53% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultFC Thun to win ✓53% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 9.91
FC Thun vs Heart Of Midlothian preview and prediction
The match
Heart Of Midlothian travel to Stockhorn Arena in the UEFA Europa Conference League on Thursday 5 November (18:45 WAT) to face FC Thun. FC Thun are 20th with 3 points from 3 games (in the bottom half), while Heart Of Midlothian sit 32nd on 1 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
FC Thun's last 5: WLLDL Most recently they beat Lausanne 5–4 away. They average 1.7 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Heart Of Midlothian's last 5: LDWLL Most recently they lost to Hibernian 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.7 for FC Thun and 1.1 for Heart Of Midlothian. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 57%, both teams to score at 65%.
Betting angles
Win chances: FC Thun 53%, draw 20%, Heart Of Midlothian 27%.
Both teams to score: yes (65%) at 1.44.
Value angle: FC Thun to win at 2.20 – 53% on our numbers against 45% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 63% chance at odds of 1.62, above our fair price of 1.59, so there is value in it. Predicted score: FC Thun 1–1 Heart Of Midlothian. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FC Thun53%fair 1.89 · @2.20
Draw20%fair 4.89 · @3.60
Heart Of Midlothian27%fair 3.74 · @3.00
2.83Expected goals
1.71FC Thun xG
1.12Heart Of Midlothian xG
65%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–010%
2–110%
2–09%
0–17%
1–26%
From our goals model: FC Thun 1.7 – 1.1 Heart Of Midlothian expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Thun to win✓
53%
1.89
2.20 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.26
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.54
1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.14
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.74
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
1.62
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.47
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Thun / FT FC Thun✓
31%
3.21
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
9.91
–
Form
FC Thun – last 6
WLLDLL
1 Nov
@ Lausanne
5–4
W
25 Oct
vs FC Lugano
2–3
L
22 Oct
vs HNK Hajduk Split
0–1
L
18 Oct
@ FC Schaffhausen
1–1
D
15 Oct
@ Twente
0–1
L
10 Oct
@ FC Zurich
2–4
L
1.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Heart Of Midlothian – last 6
LDWLLD
1 Nov
vs Hibernian
1–2
L
28 Oct
vs Rangers
2–2
D
25 Oct
@ Motherwell
2–0
W
22 Oct
@ Trabzonspor
0–2
L
18 Oct
@ Celtic
1–7
L
15 Oct
vs FC Nordsjaelland
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Thun and Heart Of Midlothian.
What is the prediction for FC Thun vs Heart Of Midlothian?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win FC Thun vs Heart Of Midlothian?
On our numbers FC Thun have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Heart Of Midlothian 27%.
How many goals will there be in FC Thun vs Heart Of Midlothian?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Thun vs Heart Of Midlothian?
Our predicted score is FC Thun 1–1 Heart Of Midlothian, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is FC Thun vs Heart Of Midlothian?
FC Thun vs Heart Of Midlothian (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 5 November 2026 at 18:45 (West Africa Time) at Stockhorn Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
