The UEFA Europa Conference League sees FC Midtjylland take on Ajax on Thursday 5 November, kicking off at 18:45 (WAT) at MCH Arena. FC Midtjylland are 34th with 1 points from 3 games (in the bottom three), while Ajax sit 11th on 6 points (in the top half).
Form guide
FC Midtjylland's last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat FC Nordsjaelland 3–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Ajax's last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat AZ Alkmaar 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.6 goals: 1.7 for FC Midtjylland and 1.8 for Ajax. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 66% and both teams to score at 69%.
Betting angles
Win chances: FC Midtjylland 37%, draw 22%, Ajax 41%.
Both teams to score: yes (69%) at 1.40.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 69% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: FC Midtjylland 1–1 Ajax. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FC Midtjylland37%fair 2.71 · @2.62
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @3.70
Ajax41%fair 2.44 · @2.45
3.57Expected goals
1.74FC Midtjylland xG
1.84Ajax xG
69%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–19%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
0–15%
1–35%
From our goals model: FC Midtjylland 1.7 – 1.8 Ajax expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ajax to win✓
41%
2.44
2.45
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
69%
1.46
1.40
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
1.12
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.50
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
54%
1.85
1.67
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
36%
2.80
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ajax / FT Ajax✗
25%
4.02
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.16
–
Form
FC Midtjylland – last 6
WWWLWD
1 Nov
@ FC Nordsjaelland
3–2
W
29 Oct
vs Odense
2–1
W
25 Oct
vs Lyngby
3–2
W
22 Oct
vs St. Truiden
0–1
L
19 Oct
@ Viborg
2–1
W
15 Oct
@ Egnatia Rrogozhinë
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Ajax – last 6
WWWWLD
31 Oct
vs AZ Alkmaar
1–0
W
25 Oct
@ Sparta Rotterdam
2–1
W
22 Oct
vs Atalanta
2–0
W
18 Oct
@ Groningen
5–2
W
15 Oct
@ HNK Hajduk Split
1–2
L
10 Oct
vs NEC Nijmegen
1–1
D
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Midtjylland and Ajax.
What is the prediction for FC Midtjylland vs Ajax?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win FC Midtjylland vs Ajax?
On our numbers FC Midtjylland have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Ajax 41%.
How many goals will there be in FC Midtjylland vs Ajax?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Midtjylland vs Ajax?
Our predicted score is FC Midtjylland 1–1 Ajax, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is FC Midtjylland vs Ajax?
FC Midtjylland vs Ajax (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 5 November 2026 at 18:45 (West Africa Time) at MCH Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
