Value bet: Gent to win @ 1.65 – our chance 64% vs 61% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultGent to win ✗64% · @1.65
Double chanceGent or draw ✓89% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗18% · fair 5.67
KuPS vs Gent preview and prediction
The match
The UEFA Europa Conference League sees KuPS take on Gent on Thursday 5 November, kicking off at 18:45 (WAT) at Tammelan Stadion. KuPS are 33rd with 1 points from 3 games (in the bottom half), while Gent sit 18th on 4 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
KuPS's last 5: LDDLW Most recently they lost to AC Oulu 0–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Gent's last 5: LWLDW Most recently they lost to Lommel United 0–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Gent arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 0.6 for KuPS and 1.7 for Gent. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 46%.
Betting angles
Win chances: KuPS 11%, draw 25%, Gent 64%.
Safer route: Gent or draw (89%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: no (54%) at 1.83.
Value angle: Gent to win at 1.65 – 64% on our numbers against 61% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: KuPS 0–1 Gent. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
KuPS11%fair 9.20 · @5.00
Draw25%fair 4.05 · @3.90
Gent64%fair 1.55 · @1.65
2.27Expected goals
0.56KuPS xG
1.71Gent xG
46%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–118%
0–215%
0–010%
1–110%
0–39%
1–28%
From our goals model: KuPS 0.6 – 1.7 Gent expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gent to win✗
64%
1.55
1.65 ▲
Double chance
Gent or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.33
Half-time result
Gent ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gent / FT Gent✗
41%
2.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
18%
5.67
–
Form
KuPS – last 6
LDDLWL
1 Nov
@ AC Oulu
0–2
L
29 Oct
vs Gnistan
1–1
D
25 Oct
@ HJK Helsinki
2–2
D
22 Oct
@ Borac Banja Luka
0–2
L
18 Oct
vs VPS
2–0
W
15 Oct
vs Trabzonspor
2–4
L
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Gent – last 6
LWLDWW
1 Nov
@ Lommel United
0–2
L
25 Oct
vs Anderlecht
4–0
W
22 Oct
@ SC Braga
0–2
L
18 Oct
@ Rochefort
3–3
D
15 Oct
vs Aarhus
1–0
W
10 Oct
@ Zulte Waregem
2–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between KuPS and Gent.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win KuPS vs Gent?
On our numbers KuPS have a 11% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Gent 64%.
How many goals will there be in KuPS vs Gent?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for KuPS vs Gent?
Our predicted score is KuPS 0–1 Gent, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is KuPS vs Gent?
KuPS vs Gent (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 5 November 2026 at 18:45 (West Africa Time) at Tammelan Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
